Throttur Reykjavik Women - Stjarnan Women prediction 27 September 2026

The Throttur Reykjavik Women vs Stjarnan Women prediction for the Premier League Women match on Sep 27, 2026, at 15:00 local time, points to a home win. Based on our analysis, Throttur Reykjavik Women has a 55% chance of winning, while Stjarnan Women has a 20% chance, with a 25% probability of a draw. This betting tip is supported by the league table positions, recent form, and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Throttur Reykjavik Women come into this fixture with mixed form, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 4-3 defeat away to IBV Vestmannaeyja Women on Sep 18. Before that, they secured a 2-1 win at Grindavik Women in the Cup Women, drew 1-1 at home with Breidablik Women, drew 0-0 at home with Thor Akureyri Women, and won 2-1 away at IBV Vestmannaeyja Women. This run shows they are capable of scoring but have defensive vulnerabilities.

Stjarnan Women, on the other hand, are in poor form with four losses and just one win in their last five matches. They lost 1-0 away to FH Hafnarfjodur Women on Sep 18, lost 2-1 at home to Vikingur Women, lost 3-2 away to Fram Women, beat Breidablik Women 2-0 at home, and lost 3-2 away to IBV Vestmannaeyja Women. Their away performances have been particularly weak, with three consecutive away defeats in the league.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is evenly balanced. In 17 previous meetings, Throttur Reykjavik Women have won 6, Stjarnan Women have won 5, and 6 matches ended in draws. Looking at the last five encounters: on Aug 6, 2026, the teams drew 1-1; on May 25, 2026, Stjarnan won 1-0 away at Throttur; on Feb 27, 2026, Stjarnan won 5-0 in the League Cup; on Oct 11, 2025, Throttur won 1-0 away; and on Sep 20, 2025, Throttur won 4-2 at home. The recent H2H suggests neither side has a clear psychological edge, though Stjarnan did win the last league meeting at this venue.

League Table Positions

Throttur Reykjavik Women sit 3rd in the Premier League Women table with 33 points from 17 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 30 goals and conceded 20. At home, they are strong: 5 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in 8 games, with 16 goals scored and 9 conceded. Stjarnan Women are 5th with 25 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses), scoring 29 and conceding 32. Their away form is a major concern: 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses in 8 away games, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. The 8-point gap and the home/away splits heavily favor Throttur.

Win Probability: Throttur Reykjavik Women or Stjarnan Women?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Throttur Reykjavik Women have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Stjarnan Women have a 20% chance. This assessment is based on Throttur's superior league position, their strong home record (only one home defeat all season), and Stjarnan's dismal away form (six losses in eight away matches). While the head-to-head is close, the current form and table dynamics make Throttur the clear favorite. The probability of a draw is also significant given Throttur's two recent home draws.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not currently available. However, based on the stats, Throttur Reykjavik Women are expected to be the favorites. Our match prediction is a home win for Throttur, likely with a low-scoring affair. Throttur have kept two clean sheets in their last three home league games, while Stjarnan have failed to score in two of their last three away matches. A 1-0 or 2-0 victory for Throttur Reykjavik Women is a plausible outcome. For those looking for betting tips, backing Throttur to win and under 2.5 total goals could be worth considering.