STK 1914 Samorin - FK Pohronie prediction 24 October 2026

The STK 1914 Samorin vs FK Pohronie prediction points to a tight contest in Slovakia's 2 Liga on October 24 at 13:30. Based on stats, STK 1914 Samorin has a 47% chance of winning, with FK Pohronie at 28% and the draw at 25%. STK 1914 Samorin enters as the favorite thanks to superior league position and home advantage.

Team Form

STK 1914 Samorin's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They recorded a 2-2 draw at Inter Bratislava on Oct 17, a 2-1 cup win over Futura Humenne on Oct 14, and a 1-1 draw with FC Petrzalka on Oct 11. A 2-0 loss at Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas on Oct 5 ended a run, but they bounced back with a 3-1 home win against Lokomotiva Zvolen on Sep 26.

FK Pohronie's form reads two wins, two losses, and a draw from their last five. A 0-0 home draw with Malzenice on Oct 16 followed two straight away wins: 3-1 at ViOn Zlate Moravce on Oct 12 and 2-0 at Futura Humenne on Oct 3. However, a 3-0 home loss to Inter Bratislava on Sep 25 and a 1-0 loss at FC Petrzalka on Sep 21 highlight inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is perfectly balanced, with 6 wins each and 5 draws in 17 previous meetings. The most recent clash on Mar 6 saw FK Pohronie win 1-0 at home. Earlier this season, on Aug 16, STK 1914 Samorin drew 1-1 at home against FK Pohronie. STK 1914 Samorin has also recorded big home wins in this fixture, including a 5-3 victory in Nov 2023 and a 4-0 win in Mar 2023.

League Table Positions

STK 1914 Samorin sits 2nd in the 2 Liga overall table with 29 points from 13 matches (9 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). FK Pohronie is 3rd with 23 points (7 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). The 6-point gap gives STK 1914 Samorin a clear edge. At home, STK 1914 Samorin ranks 1st with 16 points from 7 games (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while FK Pohronie is 5th in away form with 10 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses).

Win Probability: STK 1914 Samorin or FK Pohronie?

STK 1914 Samorin has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and FK Pohronie has a 28% chance. This probability model weights the inverse of typical bookmaker odds, adjusted for STK 1914 Samorin's stronger league position (2nd vs 3rd), their top-ranked home record, and a balanced head-to-head where home advantage has often proved decisive. FK Pohronie's inconsistent away form reduces their win probability, while the frequent draws in H2H history keep the draw chance notable.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds are not provided in the data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would likely view STK 1914 Samorin as the favorite. The betting tips suggest leaning toward a home win or the draw market, given STK 1914 Samorin's strong home form and the 1-1 result when these sides met earlier this season. FK Pohronie has shown they can score away, but STK 1914 Samorin's position and home strength make them the more probable match outcome.