Rohoznik - STK 1914 Samorin prediction 19 August 2026

The Rohoznik vs STK 1914 Samorin prediction for the Slovakia Cup match on Aug 19, 2026, points to an away victory. STK 1914 Samorin enter the game as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability, while Rohoznik have just a 10% chance of winning and the draw stands at 25%. This Cup tie at 15:00 local time sees two teams in contrasting form, with the visitors from the 2 Liga expected to dominate.

Team Form

Rohoznik come into this Cup tie in poor shape, having lost four of their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Malacky in the Cup on Aug 13, 2025. Before that, they lost 0-2 away to Lokomotiva Devinska Nova Ves, won 3-0 at Zavod, lost 0-3 at Slovan Most Pri Bratislave, and lost 1-3 at home to Dukla Banska Bystrica in the 2 Liga back in May 2022. That run includes just one win and four losses, with a goal difference of 4 scored and 12 conceded.

STK 1914 Samorin, on the other hand, are in excellent form with four wins from their last five matches. They suffered a surprise 0-2 home loss to Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom in the 2 Liga on Aug 15, 2026, but prior to that they won four straight: 2-1 away at Slovan Bratislava B, 3-1 home vs Futura Humenne, 2-0 home vs Malzenice, and a 2-1 friendly win over Al Gharafa. Playing in the 2 Liga, a higher division than most of Rohoznik's recent opponents, STK 1914 Samorin have shown consistent quality.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, both in the 2 Liga. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with one win each and no draws. Rohoznik won 2-1 away at STK 1914 Samorin on Aug 15, 2021, while STK 1914 Samorin returned the favor with a 1-0 away win on Mar 6, 2022. Interestingly, both victories came on the road, suggesting that home advantage has not been decisive in this fixture.

Win Probability: Rohoznik or STK 1914 Samorin?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, the win probabilities for this match are as follows:

• Rohoznik win: 10%
• Draw: 25%
• STK 1914 Samorin win: 65%

The bookmakers' odds implied an away win probability of around 51% after removing the margin, but STK 1914 Samorin's strong form in a higher division and Rohoznik's dreadful recent results—especially at home—justify a significant upward adjustment. Rohoznik have lost four of their last five, including a 0-4 home cup defeat, while STK 1914 Samorin have won four of five, all against competitive 2 Liga sides. The head-to-head record is even, but current momentum heavily favors the visitors. Therefore, STK 1914 Samorin are the clear favorites to win this Cup match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced STK 1914 Samorin as strong favorites. The best available odds for a Rohoznik home win are as high as 6.80, while a draw can be backed at up to 4.80, and an away win for STK 1914 Samorin is offered as low as 1.33. These odds reflect the gulf in class and form between the two sides.

Our prediction: STK 1914 Samorin to win. Given the 65% win probability and the visitors' superior form, backing the away side is the most logical choice. A draw cannot be completely ruled out (25% chance), but Rohoznik's chances of causing an upset are slim at just 10%.