Sturm Graz Women - Rapid Wien Women prediction 18 September 2026

Sturm Graz Women vs Rapid Wien Women prediction for the Bundesliga Women match on September 18, 2026, at 16:00. Sturm Graz Women are the strong favorites with a 78% chance of winning, while Rapid Wien Women have just a 7% probability of an away victory. The draw is rated at 15%.

Team Form

Sturm Graz Women are in excellent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They beat Union Kleinmunchen Women 4-0 away on Sep 13, defeated Gintra Universitetas Women 5-3 away in the Europa Cup, and won 3-1 at home against Sudburgenland Women. Their only slip was a 1-1 draw at First Vienna FC 1894 Women on Aug 21. At home, they have a perfect record this league season: three wins from three, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 3.

Rapid Wien Women have been inconsistent. Their last five results: a 2-1 home win over LASK Linz Women, a 0-1 home loss to SPG SCR Altach/FFC Vorderland Women, two 2-2 and 3-3 draws away at Sudburgenland Women and First Vienna FC 1894 Women, and a 5-1 friendly win at Union Kleinmunchen Women. Away from home in the league, they have drawn all three matches, scoring 6 and conceding 6.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Sturm Graz Women and Rapid Wien Women. This will be their first encounter.

League Table Positions

Sturm Graz Women sit top of the Bundesliga Women table with 16 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 18 goals and conceded only 4. Rapid Wien Women are 6th with 6 points from 5 games (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), with a goal difference of 8:8. The home and away splits further highlight the gap: Sturm Graz are the best home team (3 wins, 11:3 goals), while Rapid Wien are yet to win away (3 draws, 6:6 goals).

Win Probability: Sturm Graz Women or Rapid Wien Women?

Based on the odds, team form, league positions, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Sturm Graz Women have a 78% chance of winning, a draw has a 15% probability, and Rapid Wien Women have just a 7% chance. The bookmakers' odds (1.20 home, 5.25 draw, 12.00 away) imply a 75% home win probability after removing the margin. We have adjusted this upward slightly because of Sturm Graz's perfect home record and Rapid Wien's inability to win away. Sturm Graz Women are clearly the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.20 for a Sturm Graz Women win, 5.25 for the draw, and 12.00 for a Rapid Wien Women victory. These odds reflect the huge gap between the teams. Our prediction: Sturm Graz Women to win. The stats strongly support a home victory, with Sturm Graz's dominant form and Rapid Wien's struggles on the road. A bet on Sturm Graz Women at 1.20 offers low risk, while the draw at 5.25 could be a value pick for those expecting a tight contest, given Rapid Wien's three away draws this season.