Suchitepequez - Deportivo San Pedro prediction 16 October 2026

The Suchitepequez vs Deportivo San Pedro prediction for the Liga Nacional match on October 16, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis, Suchitepequez has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Deportivo San Pedro holds a 30% probability. Kick-off is at 02:00 local time, and the home side enters as a slight favorite.

Team Form

Suchitepequez come into this match with mixed results. Their last five outings show one win, one draw, and three losses (W, L, L, D, L). At home, they edged Deportivo Mixco 1-0 but were held to a 2-2 draw by Xelaju. Away from home, they suffered heavy defeats to CSD Comunicaciones (0-3) and CSD Municipal (0-3), plus a narrow 2-3 loss at Antigua GFC. The home win over Mixco offers some encouragement, but consistency remains an issue.

Deportivo San Pedro’s recent form reads L, L, D, D, W. They lost away to Xelaju (0-2) and Guastatoya (1-2), drew 1-1 at home with Coban Imperial and 0-0 away at Marquense, then beat Deportivo Mixco 2-0 at home. Their away performances have been poor, with no wins in the last three road trips, which could be a decisive factor here.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides spans 11 matches: Suchitepequez have 4 home wins, there have been 2 draws, and Deportivo San Pedro have claimed 5 away victories. In the last five meetings, the record is evenly split—two wins each and one draw. The most recent clash was on August 9, 2026, when Deportivo San Pedro won 3-0 at home. That result will give the visitors confidence, but Suchitepequez have won two of the last three home encounters.

Win Probability: Suchitepequez or Deportivo San Pedro?

We calculate the win probability as follows: Suchitepequez 40%, draw 30%, Deportivo San Pedro 30%. This assessment is based on home advantage, recent form, and the head-to-head record. Suchitepequez’s home form (one win and one draw in their last two at home) contrasts with Deportivo San Pedro’s away struggles (no wins in three). Although the overall H2H slightly favours the away side, the current dynamics tilt the balance towards the hosts. The high draw probability reflects the tight nature of recent meetings and both teams’ inconsistent scoring.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not currently available. Once the markets open, Suchitepequez are expected to be priced as marginal favourites. Our prediction: based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but a draw is a very realistic possibility. Bettors looking for Suchitepequez vs Deportivo San Pedro betting tips should consider the home side’s slight edge and the value in the draw market if odds permit.