Suduva Marijampole B - Vilnius Football Academy prediction 3 October 2026

Suduva Marijampole B vs Vilnius Football Academy prediction: the home side are slight favorites with a 42% win probability in this Lithuanian 2 Lyga match on October 3, 2026, at 15:00 local time. Read on for our full prediction, including team form, head-to-head, and betting tips.

Team Form

Suduva Marijampole B are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five outings (W4 D1). Here are their most recent results:

• Sep 24: Utenis Utena 2-2 Suduva Marijampole B (D)
• Sep 19: Suduva Marijampole B 5-0 Sirvena Birzai (W)
• Sep 12: Viltis Vilnius 0-5 Suduva Marijampole B (W)
• Aug 29: Suduva Marijampole B 2-0 Ukmerge (W)
• Aug 22: Sirijus Klaipeda 1-2 Suduva Marijampole B (W)

Over these five games, Suduva scored 16 goals and conceded only 3. At home, they have won both of their last two matches without conceding, making them a formidable opponent at their own ground.

Vilnius Football Academy have also been in good shape, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches:

• Sep 23: Vilnius Football Academy 2-0 Ukmerge (W)
• Sep 19: Sirijus Klaipeda 2-0 Vilnius Football Academy (L)
• Sep 11: Vilnius Football Academy 2-2 Dainava B (D)
• Sep 2: Klaipeda 0-2 Vilnius Football Academy (W)
• Aug 28: Vilnius Football Academy 6-0 Silute (W)

They scored 12 goals and conceded 4 in this period. However, their away form is less consistent: a 2-0 win at Klaipeda was followed by a 2-0 defeat at Sirijus Klaipeda, showing vulnerability on the road.

Both sides have been involved in high-scoring encounters. Suduva’s last five matches produced an average of 3.8 goals per game, while Vilnius’s averaged 3.2. This suggests the match could see a few goals, though Suduva’s solid home defense (two clean sheets in a row) might keep the score down.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, on May 22, 2026, in the 2 Lyga. Vilnius Football Academy hosted Suduva Marijampole B and cruised to a 4-0 victory. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge, but it was played at Vilnius’s ground, and Suduva will be looking to reverse that outcome on home soil.

Win Probability: Suduva Marijampole B or Vilnius Football Academy?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Suduva Marijampole B win: 42%
• Draw: 22%
• Vilnius Football Academy win: 36%

These percentages are derived from the bookmakers’ 1X2 odds (2.25, 4.10, 2.30), which imply a home win chance of 39.6%, a draw at 21.7%, and an away win at 38.7% after removing the margin. We then adjusted the figures to account for Suduva’s superior recent form (four wins in five) and home advantage, while also factoring in Vilnius’s head-to-head win. As a result, Suduva emerge as the narrow favorites, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current 1X2 odds are: Suduva Marijampole B 2.25, Draw 4.10, Vilnius Football Academy 2.30. Bookmakers see this as a very even contest, with only a slight preference for the home side. Based on the stats, our Suduva Marijampole B vs Vilnius Football Academy prediction is a home win, but with a high chance of a draw. For those seeking betting tips, the home win offers value given Suduva’s strong home form, while the draw odds of 4.10 could be an attractive option for risk-tolerant bettors.