FK Hegelmann Litauen - Suduva Marijampole prediction 20 September 2026

This FK Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole prediction previews the A Lyga match on Sep 20 at 11:15. Based on team form, standings and head-to-head data, Suduva Marijampole are the favorites with a 43% win probability, FK Hegelmann Litauen have a 28% chance, and the draw is at 29%.

Team Form

FK Hegelmann Litauen enter this match with a difficult run: D, L, D, D, L across their last five league games. They drew 0-0 at Siauliai, lost 1-3 at home to Baltija Panevezys, drew 2-2 at Dziugas Telsiai, drew 1-1 at home with Banga Gargzdai, and lost 2-0 at FK Kauno Zalgiris. Over those five games, FK Hegelmann scored 4 goals and conceded 8.

Suduva Marijampole's recent form reads D, L, W, W, W. They drew 0-0 at home with Zalgiris Vilnius, lost 5-1 away to FK Kauno Zalgiris, won 2-1 at Transinvest, won 2-1 at Siauliai, and beat Baltija Panevezys 2-0 at home. Suduva scored 7 goals and conceded 7 in that same five-match run.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record shows 10 home wins, 4 draws, and 12 away wins across the listed matches. The last five meetings produced 16 goals, with two draws and three matches decided by one goal or more.

• Jul 20: Suduva Marijampole 5-1 FK Hegelmann Litauen
• May 16: FK Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 Suduva Marijampole
• Mar 14: Suduva Marijampole 0-0 FK Hegelmann Litauen
• Nov 08: FK Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Suduva Marijampole
• Aug 30: Suduva Marijampole 2-1 FK Hegelmann Litauen

In the last five meetings, Suduva Marijampole won twice, FK Hegelmann Litauen won once, and two games ended level.

League Table Positions

In the overall A Lyga standings, Suduva Marijampole are 1st with 49 points from 27 matches (13W 10D 4L, goals 38:24). FK Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 25 points from 28 matches (4W 13D 11L, goals 30:47), leaving a 24-point gap. FK Hegelmann's 13 draws are the most in the league table.

Home and away splits also favor Suduva. FK Hegelmann have 14 points from 14 home games (2W 8D 4L, goals 18:21). Suduva have 22 points from 14 away games (6W 4D 4L, goals 20:18).

Win Probability: FK Hegelmann Litauen or Suduva Marijampole?

FK Hegelmann Litauen has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Suduva Marijampole has a 43% chance. These three match outcomes total 100%. Who will win? Suduva Marijampole are the more likely side, but a 43% probability is not a dominant margin.

Reasoning: Suduva have the stronger overall record, a 24-point gap in the table, better away form, and more positive recent results. FK Hegelmann have home advantage but only two home wins and eight home draws in 14 home games, which keeps the draw probability close to the home win.

Odds & Match Prediction: FK Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole Prediction

The selected odds market is 1X2. Specific bookmaker odds are not listed in the data, so this prediction is based on form, standings and head-to-head results.

Final prediction: Suduva Marijampole are the more likely match outcome. However, FK Hegelmann Litauen's eight home draws make a draw a legitimate betting tip. For betting tips, Suduva's 22 away points and FK Hegelmann's eight home draws are the key numbers. Based on the stats, the best lean is Suduva or draw.