Transinvest - Suduva Marijampole prediction 6 September 2026

Transinvest vs Suduva Marijampole prediction for the A Lyga clash on Sep 06, 2026 at 13:00. Suduva Marijampole enters the match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Transinvest holds a 25% chance. The draw is rated at 35%.

Team Form

Transinvest’s last five matches show a mixed pattern: W, D, L, W, W. Most recently, they beat Siauliai Futbolo Akademija 3-0 at home on Aug 24. Their home record this season stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses from 12 games, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded.

Suduva Marijampole is in superb form, winning all of their last five matches: W, W, W, W, W. Their latest result was a 2-1 away victory over Siauliai Futbolo Akademija on Aug 30. Away from home this season, they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 17 and conceding 12.

Head-to-Head Record

In the three previous meetings, Suduva Marijampole holds the edge with 1 win and 2 draws; Transinvest has never won. The most recent encounter on Jul 06, 2026 ended 0-0. The earlier fixtures were a 1-1 draw on May 06, 2026 and a 2-0 home win for Suduva Marijampole on Mar 07, 2026. The H2H totals are 0 home wins, 2 draws, and 1 away win.

League Table Positions

Suduva Marijampole sits 1st in the A Lyga with 45 points from 24 matches (12 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses, goals 35:18). Transinvest is 3rd with 39 points from 25 matches (11 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses, goals 36:32). The six-point gap and Suduva’s game in hand underline their stronger campaign. In the home table, Transinvest is 5th with 18 points from 12 games; Suduva is 3rd in the away table with 19 points from 12 away matches.

Win Probability: Transinvest or Suduva Marijampole?

Based on odds, recent form, H2H record, and league positions, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Transinvest win: 25%
• Draw: 35%
• Suduva Marijampole win: 40%

The initial odds-based probabilities (after removing the bookmaker margin) gave a slight edge to the draw, with Transinvest around 31.2%, draw 37.9%, and Suduva 30.9%. However, adjusting for Suduva’s perfect five-match winning streak, their top-of-the-table status, and an unbeaten H2H record shifts the balance in their favor. Transinvest’s home advantage is partially offset by their inconsistent home form and Suduva’s strong away performances. Therefore, Suduva Marijampole is the most likely winner, but a draw remains a very plausible outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the full-time result vary. The best available odds include home win between 2.65 and 2.80, draw between 2.02 and 3.15, and away win between 2.44 and 2.98. The shortest odds in some books are on the draw, reflecting the tight H2H history and league positions. However, our analysis points to Suduva Marijampole as the value pick. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an away win, though a draw is also a strong possibility.