Sunrise FC - Gasogi United prediction 14 October 2026
Sunrise FC
Gasogi UnitedSunrise FC
Etoile de L'EstAmagajuSunrise FCSunrise FCGasogi UnitedSunrise FCPolice FC RwandaRayon SportsSunrise FCEtincellesSunrise FCIntare FCSunrise FCSunrise FCUnityCity BoysSunrise FCSunrise FCSina Gerald ACSina Gerald ACSunrise FCEtoile de L'EstSunrise FCVision FC KigaliSunrise FCSunrise FCSina Gerald ACSunrise FCEsperanceMarines GisenyiGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedGorilla FCGasogi UnitedBugeseraSunrise FCGasogi UnitedMusanzeGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedGorilla FCMukuraGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedPolice FC RwandaMusanzeGasogi UnitedAl Hilal OmdurmanGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedEtincellesGasogi UnitedGicumbiMarines GisenyiGasogi UnitedAS KigaliGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedGorilla FCSunrise FCGasogi UnitedSunrise FCGasogi UnitedSunrise FCGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedSunrise FCSunrise FCGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedSunrise FCSunrise FCGasogi UnitedSunrise FCGasogi UnitedSunrise FCGasogi UnitedGasogi UnitedSunrise FCGasogi UnitedSunrise FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gorilla FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 11 |
| 2 |  Mukura | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Gicumbi | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Marines Gisenyi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 |  Amagaju | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 | Sunrise FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 |  Etincelles | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Bugesera | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |  Musanze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | Gasogi United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Kiyovu Sports | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Police | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 |  AS Kigali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Etoile de L'Est | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Rayon Sports | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Sunrise FC vs Gasogi United
The Sunrise FC vs Gasogi United prediction for the Rwanda National League clash on Oct 14, 2026, at 14:00 points to a match with no clear favourite. According to our probability model, Sunrise FC has a 34% chance of winning, the draw stands at 32%, and Gasogi United holds a 34% chance. Bookmakers and head-to-head history suggest Gasogi United could upset the hosts, but Sunrise FC's recent form keeps them slightly more reliable at home.
Team Form
Sunrise FC
Sunrise FC are unbeaten in their last five outings (W,D,D,D,W), with the most recent a 1-0 home success over Police FC. In the National League this season they have 1 win and 2 draws, netting 2 goals while conceding just 1. Their home record this season is perfect: 1 win, 1-0, from 1 fixture.
Gasogi United
Gasogi United's away form in the last five matches reads W,D,L,L,L. They lost three of those five, but the last away match was a 1-0 victory at Musanze. Goals have been scarse: they scored 1 and conceded 2 in their two away league games this term.
Head-to-Head Record
In the overall head-to-head record, home wins have never occurred: 0 home victories, 4 draws and 6 away wins from 10 encounters. Sunrise FC have yet to beat Gasogi United in any meeting. Among the five most recent clashes, Gasogi United won three and two ended level. The last showdown at this venue finished 1-0 to Gasogi United on Dec 2, 2023.
League Table Positions
Sunrise FC sit 5th in the National League overall table with 5 points from 3 matches (1W,2D,0L). Their goal difference is +1 (2:1). Gasogi United's overall position is not among the current top 12, but in the away standings they are 7th, having collected 3 points from 2 road games (1W,1L).
Win Probability: Sunrise FC or Gasogi United?
Based on the odds (home 2.52, draw 2.82, away 2.70) and adjusted for recent form and the one-sided H2H, we calculate: Sunrise FC win: 34%, Draw: 32%, Gasogi United win: 34%. Home advantage and Sunrise's steady results give them a slight edge situationally, but Gasogi United's historical dominance (6 away wins in H2H) pulls the outcome into a near coin-flip. The most probable result is a draw or a narrow away win.
Odds & Match Prediction
Selected bookmaker odds are: Sunrise FC win @2.52, Draw @2.82, Gasogi United win @2.70. The market implies a very tight contest. Our prediction sits close to the numbers: a tight, low-scoring affair is likely (under 2.5 goals), and the double chance X2 (draw or Gasogi United) carries value given the H2H streak. However, Sunrise FC's current home resilience cannot be dismissed. Prediction: Draw or Gasogi United to win, total goals under 2.5.
", "faq_title": "Sunrise FC vs Gasogi United โ FAQ", "faq": [ { "question": "Who will win Sunrise FC vs Gasogi United?", "answer": "The match is very balanced. Sunrise FC has a 34% win probability, the draw is 32%, and Gasogi United also has 34%. No side dominates statistically, but Gasogi United's strong head-to-head record (6 away wins) suggests they have a mental edge in this fixture." }, { "question": "What is the win probability for the favorite?", "answer": "Sunrise FC is the marginal favorite with a 34% chance. This comes from their undefeated home form (1 win, clean sheet) and bookmaker odds of 2.52 for a home win, though the historical clashes heavily favour Gasogi United." }, { "question": "When is the Sunrise FC vs Gasogi United match?", "answer": "The match is on October 14, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It will be played in the Rwanda National League." }, { "question": "What are the odds for the match?", "answer": "One bookmaker lists Sunrise FC at 2.52, the draw at 2.82, and Gasogi United at 2.70. Other operators floated similar ranges, but all odds point to a very close contest." }, { "question": "What is the head-to-head record between Sunrise FC and Gasogi United?", "answer": "In 10 total meetings, the home side has never won (0 wins), with 4 draws and 6 away victories. Sunrise FC have yet to beat Gasogi United; the last encounter at this stadium ended 1-0 to Gasogi United in December 2023." } ] }