Supra du Quebec - Inter Toronto York 9 FC prediction 17 October 2026

The Supra du Quebec vs Inter Toronto York 9 FC prediction points towards a home advantage for this Premier League fixture on October 17, 2026. Based on recent head-to-head dominance and better overall league standing, Supra du Quebec enters the match as the clear favorite with a calculated win probability of 52%. Inter Toronto York 9 FC faces an uphill battle, given their recent form struggles and poor record in this matchup.

Team Form

Supra du Quebec's recent form shows a pattern of W-W-L-W-D across their last five matches, indicating a team capable of winning but with occasional defensive lapses. They secured an away win against Inter Toronto York 9 FC on Oct 7, drew 2-2 at home with Vancouver FC on Oct 10, and thrashed Pacific FC 5-0 on Oct 4. However, a 6-0 loss to Cavalry on September 26 highlights a potential vulnerability against top opposition.

Inter Toronto York 9 FC has struggled more consistently, with a form line reading L-D-L-W-L. Their last five outings include three defeats, most recently a 2-1 home loss to Supra du Quebec. A 3-3 draw at Vancouver FC and a 3-1 home win over Cavalry show they can be competitive, but losses to Pacific FC and a 4-1 defeat at Halifax Wanderers expose serious defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Supra du Quebec. In three previous meetings, they have won twice with one draw. Inter Toronto York 9 FC has never beaten Supra du Quebec. The most recent clash on October 7, 2026, saw Supra du Quebec win 2-1 away. Earlier in the season, the teams drew 1-1 on August 23, and Supra du Quebec won 3-1 at home on May 30.

League Table Positions

In the Premier League standings, Supra du Quebec sits 5th with 32 points from 26 matches. Inter Toronto York 9 FC is two places lower in 7th, on 27 points from 25 games. The home side holds a five-point advantage despite playing one more match. The home and away splits are stark: Inter Toronto York 9 FC has only one away win all season, drawing six and losing five of their 12 road trips. Supra du Quebec's home record is modest (4 wins in 13), but still superior to their opponent's travel form.

Win Probability: Supra du Quebec or Inter Toronto York 9 FC?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability percentages are: Supra du Quebec win 52%, draw 27%, Inter Toronto York 9 FC win 21%. This calculation is based primarily on the head-to-head record, where Supra du Quebec has never lost to this opponent, combined with superior recent form and league position. Bookmaker odds were not available for this specific market, so the estimation is weighted by form trends, H2H history, and home advantage. Inter Toronto York 9 FC's poor away record and defensive fragility further reduce their chances of an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

No 1X2 match odds were provided in the data. Based solely on the statistics, the logical prediction is a home win for Supra du Quebec. The H2H record shows consistent victories, and they meet an opponent that has struggled on the road all season. While a draw remains a plausible outcome given Supra du Quebec's inconsistent home form, the overall balance of probability strongly favors a home victory. Expect Supra du Quebec to extend their unbeaten run in this fixture.