Al Nahda Al Buraimi - Sur SC prediction 19 October 2026

The Al Nahda Al Buraimi vs Sur SC prediction for October 19, 2026, in the Omani League points firmly toward a home victory. Based on our win probability analysis, Al Nahda Al Buraimi enters this match as the clear favorite with a 73% chance of winning, while Sur SC faces an uphill battle at just 10%. The game kicks off at 14:00.

Team Form

Al Nahda Al Buraimi's recent form has been steady, with their last five matches yielding one win, one loss, and three draws (W, D, D, D, L). Their most recent result was a 2-0 defeat away to Al Faisaly Amman in the AFC Champions League Two on October 14. Before that, they secured a 2-1 home win against Sohar in the Professional League Cup on October 2.

Sur SC's last five outings show two wins and three losses (L, L, W, W, L). They are coming off a 1-0 away loss to Saham in the Omani League on October 10. Their form has been inconsistent, with a 3-1 home win over Samail in the Professional League Cup on September 20 being their highlight, surrounded by defeats to Saham, Bahla, and Al Seeb.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Al Nahda Al Buraimi. In their last four meetings, Al Nahda Al Buraimi have won twice, with two matches ending in draws. Sur SC are yet to register a win. The most recent clash was a 3-2 victory for Al Nahda Al Buraimi in the Professional League Cup on March 31, 2026. Earlier in the Omani League, they played a 1-1 draw on March 17, 2026, and Al Nahda Al Buraimi won 4-2 on October 29, 2025. The trend is clear: Al Nahda Al Buraimi consistently scores multiple goals in this fixture.

League Table Positions

While Sur SC does not appear in the provided top section of the Omani League standings, Al-Nahda sits 4th overall with 7 points from 3 matches, having won 2, drawn 1, and lost 0. Their home record is also strong, ranked 4th, with one win and one draw from two games, scoring 2 and conceding only 1. Sur SC's league position is not detailed, but their recent form suggests they are likely in the lower half, struggling for consistency.

Win Probability: Al Nahda Al Buraimi or Sur SC?

Al Nahda Al Buraimi has a 73% chance of winning, the draw is at 17%, and Sur SC has a 10% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the provided bookmaker odds, normalized to remove the margin, and is strongly adjusted by the head-to-head dominance and home advantage. The average home win odds are around 1.35, the draw around 3.20, and the away win around 7.00, which points to a clear favorite. The fact that Sur SC has never beaten Al Nahda Al Buraimi in the available H2H data, combined with Al Nahda Al Buraimi's solid home form, reinforces a very high probability for a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Al Nahda Al Buraimi as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are as short as 1.32, with the draw reaching up to 4.70 and an away win for Sur SC as high as 8.69. These odds reflect the gulf in class and H2H record between the two sides. Based on the stats, a comfortable win for Al Nahda Al Buraimi is the most likely outcome, and we expect them to score at least two goals.