Sutherland Sharks - South Melbourne prediction 17 October 2026
Sutherland Sharks
South Melbourne
Canberra CroatiaSutherland SharksSutherland SharksSouth MelbourneSutherland SharksManly UnitedSutherland SharksSD Raiders FCSutherland SharksSt George City FAMarconi StallionsSutherland SharksSutherland SharksSydney 2 FCSutherland SharksWollongong WolvesRockdale Ilinden City SunsSutherland SharksSutherland SharksSydney OlympicManly UnitedSutherland SharksSutherland SharksAPIA Leichhardt TigersUniversity of New South WalesSutherland SharksWestern Sydney Wanderers 2Sutherland SharksSutherland SharksBlacktown City FCSouth MelbourneSydney UnitedSutherland SharksSouth MelbourneSouth MelbourneMelbourne VictorySouth MelbourneQueensland LionsOakleigh CannonsSouth MelbourneSouth MelbourneHeidelberg UnitedCaroline Springs George CrossSouth MelbournePreston LionsSouth MelbourneSouth MelbourneHeidelberg UnitedMelbourne City 2South MelbourneSouth MelbourneFremantle City FCSouth MelbourneSt Albans SaintsSouth MelbourneAdelaide UnitedOakleigh CannonsSouth MelbourneSouth MelbournePreston LionsSutherland SharksSouth Melbourne| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayswater City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 | South Melbourne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Wollongong Wolves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Queensland Lions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Oakleigh Cannons | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sutherland Sharks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Sydney United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Marconi Stallions | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Avondale FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  South Hobart | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Sydney Olympic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Adelaide City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Preston Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Canberra Croatia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne Prediction (Oct 17)
Our Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne prediction for the Championship match on October 17, 2026, at 05:00 tips South Melbourne as the favorite with a 42% win probability. A draw stands at 34% and a home win at 24%, according to bookmaker odds and recent form.
Team Form
Sutherland Sharks have struggled in their last five outings, recording one win, two draws, and two losses. They drew 1-1 with Manly United on September 2 and lost 1-2 to SD Raiders FC on August 30. A 2-1 win over St George City FA on August 22 was followed by a 0-1 loss at Marconi Stallions on August 16 and another 1-1 draw against Sydney 2 FC on August 8.
South Melbourneโs recent results are slightly better: two wins, one draw, and two losses. They played a 0-0 draw with Melbourne Victory on October 10, beat Queensland Lions 3-1 on September 15, lost 1-2 to Oakleigh Cannons on September 11, defeated Heidelberg United 2-1 on September 6, and fell 0-1 to Caroline Springs George Cross on August 29.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head data available for these two teams; they have not met in any recent recorded match. This will be an unfamiliar contest with no historical results to gauge.
League Table Positions
No meaningful league table data exists. All teams in the Championship, including Sutherland Sharks and South Melbourne, have played 0 matches, leaving both on 0 points and no position gaps to compare.
Win Probability: Sutherland Sharks or South Melbourne?
Based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 4.20, draw 3.40, away 2.38), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and adjusted for recent form, the outcome probabilities are: Sutherland Sharks win โ 24%, draw โ 34%, South Melbourne win โ 42%. South Melbourneโs slightly stronger recent form (2 wins in 5 vs 1 win in 5 for the hosts) and the odds give them the edge.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer odds of 4.20 for a Sutherland Sharks victory, 3.40 for a draw, and 2.38 for a South Melbourne win. One alternative bookmaker prices a home win at 3.75, the draw at 2.20, and an away win at 2.15. The market clearly sees South Melbourne as the favorite. Our prediction aligns โ an away win is the most likely result, but a draw remains a strong possibility.
Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne โ FAQ
- Who will win Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne?
- South Melbourne is the most likely winner with a 42% chance, while Sutherland Sharks have a 24% probability and the draw stands at 34%. These percentages combine bookmaker odds and recent team form.
- What is the win probability for South Melbourne?
- South Melbourne has a 42% win probability. This figure is derived from the betting market (implied odds around 2.38) and their slightly better recent results โ two wins in their last five matches.
- When is the Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne match?
- The match takes place on October 17, 2026, at 05:00 local time. It is a Championship fixture in Australia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds from one bookmaker list a Sutherland Sharks win at 4.20, a draw at 3.40, and a South Melbourne win at 2.38. Another set shows home win at 3.75, draw at 2.20, and away at 2.15.