Sutjeska - Decic Tuzi prediction 14 October 2026

Our Sutjeska vs Decic Tuzi prediction for this Montenegro Cup match on October 14, 2026, at 14:00 points to a home win. Sutjeska enters the fixture with a strong 55% win probability, the draw sits at 25%, and Decic Tuzi holds a 20% chance based on team form, head-to-head dominance, and early betting odds.

Team Form

Sutjeska are in excellent shape, going unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws. Their most recent result was a 0-0 away draw at Buducnost Podgorica on October 10. Before that, they secured three straight wins: 2-0 at Arsenal Tivat, 2-0 at home against Decic Tuzi, and a 1-0 home victory over FK Mornar Bar. The run of clean sheets highlights their defensive solidity.

Decic Tuzi, by contrast, are winless in five. They have drawn three and lost two, scoring just two goals in that span. Their last match was a 0-0 draw at Arsenal Tivat on October 8. Prior to that, they drew 1-1 at home with FK Mornar Bar and lost 2-0 away to Sutjeska. The lack of goals is a major concern ahead of this cup tie.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head stats heavily favour Sutjeska: out of 42 meetings, Sutjeska have won 18, Decic Tuzi 10, with 14 draws. The recent encounters underline that trend. Sutjeska won the last two home matches by a combined 5-0: 2-0 in September 2026 and 3-0 in May 2026, both in the 1 CFL. Decic Tuzi's last win over Sutjeska came in November 2025, a 2-1 cup victory, but the overall picture shows Sutjeska's control is strong when playing at home.

Win Probability: Sutjeska or Decic Tuzi?

Based on the data, Sutjeska has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Decic Tuzi has a 20% chance. These percentages are derived from the implied probabilities of the latest bookmaker odds (home 1.95, draw 2.05, away 4.00), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted upward for Sutjeska's superior form and dominant home H2H record. Decic Tuzi's ongoing winless streak and poor scoring rate justify the low away win probability. Home advantage also plays a key factor in this cup fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Sutjeska as the clear favourite. The 1X2 market shows home odds as low as 1.88 and around 1.95, the draw is offered between 1.98 and 3.10, and an away win is priced from 3.90 to 4.55. Some odds sets show extremes (1.47 home, 1.02 draw, 1.01 away), but the standard market aligns with the data. Based on the stats, current form and head-to-head superiority, Sutjeska to win is the most likely outcome. The exact score is hard to call, but a low-scoring affair favouring the hosts is expected.