Coleshill Town - Sutton Coldfield Town prediction 21 September 2026

Coleshill Town vs Sutton Coldfield Town prediction for the Northern Division One match on Sep 21, 2026 at 18:45. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, the draw is the most probable outcome at around 40%, with either team winning at approximately 30% chance each.

Team Form

Coleshill Town are in poor shape with one draw and four losses in their last five matches. On Sep 15, they drew 1-1 away against Mickleover Sports, but before that they lost 1-3 at home to Rugby Town, 0-2 away to Hanley Town in the FA Trophy, 2-3 away to Nuneaton Town, and 0-1 at home to Bedworth United. They have failed to win any of these recent fixtures.

Sutton Coldfield Town have managed one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. Most recently, they lost 0-3 away to Barwell. Prior to that, they beat Loughborough University 3-2 at home, lost 0-1 away to St Ives Town, lost 1-3 at home to Leamington in a friendly, and drew 1-1 at home against Carlton Town. Their away form shows two straight losses, scoring zero goals in those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last two meetings between these sides, Coleshill Town remain unbeaten. The most recent clash was on Jan 01, 2024, when Coleshill Town (as the away side) drew 2-2 with Sutton Coldfield Town. The previous match, on Aug 29, 2022, again at Sutton Coldfield Town, saw Coleshill Town win 3-0. Overall, Coleshill Town have one win and one draw, with no defeats in this H2H series.

Win Probability: Coleshill Town or Sutton Coldfield Town?

Bookmaker odds (inverse and normalized to remove margin) give a baseline probability of 32.2% for a home win, 37.8% for a draw, and 30.0% for an away win. Adjusting for current form – both teams are struggling, with Coleshill Town winless in five and Sutton Coldfield Town losing heavily on the road – and factoring Coleshill Town's historical edge, we shift probability slightly toward the draw. The final assessment: Coleshill Town has a 30% chance of winning, the draw stands at 40%, and Sutton Coldfield Town has a 30% chance. The match lacks a clear team favorite, and the draw looks the likeliest result based on the stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

The match odds are: home win at 2.80, draw at 2.38, away win at 3.00 (from one of the available bookmaker sets). This pricing confirms the draw as the most fancied single outcome. Considering the poor scoring form of both teams, a low-scoring draw appears the most probable match result. Our Coleshill Town vs Sutton Coldfield Town prediction therefore leans heavily toward the draw, but with no strong backing for either side to claim all three points.