Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women - Suwon Women prediction 2 October 2026

The Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women vs Suwon Women prediction for October 2, 2026, points firmly towards an away victory. In this K-League Women clash at 11:00, league leaders Suwon Women hold a clear advantage, with our analysis giving them a 60% win probability compared to just 15% for the hosts. A draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women come into this match with inconsistent results. Their last five outings read L, L, W, W, D. Most recently, they lost 0-2 at home to Seoul City Women on September 5 and 0-1 to Gyeongju Women on September 2. A 1-0 away win at Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women on August 29 and a 2-0 home victory over Changnyeong Women on August 21 showed glimpses of quality, but the 0-0 draw with Hwacheon KSPO Women on August 15 underlines a lack of cutting edge.

Suwon Women, by contrast, are in formidable shape. Their last five results are W, L, W, W, D. They beat Incheon Hyundai Steel Red Angels Women 2-0 at home on September 5, lost 0-2 away to Hwacheon KSPO Women on September 2, but then recorded impressive wins over Seoul City Women (2-1, August 28) and Busan-Boeun Sangmu Women (3-1, August 14). A 0-0 draw with Changnyeong Women on August 7 is the only minor blemish in an otherwise strong run.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Suwon Women have dominated this fixture. In 27 previous meetings, Suwon have won 16 times, Gumi 6, with 5 draws. The last five encounters underline the trend: Suwon won 4-1 on July 31, 2026, 6-0 on June 12, 2026, 3-2 on April 22, 2026, and 1-0 on June 9, 2025. Gumi’s only recent success was a 3-1 home win on September 1, 2025. The aggregate score across those five matches is 17-4 in Suwon’s favour.

League Table Positions

The standings paint a stark picture. Suwon Women sit top of the K-League Women with 56 points from 24 matches (18 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), scoring 58 goals and conceding just 19. Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women are 5th with 31 points (9 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses), a massive 25 points behind. The home/away split is even more telling: Gumi have only 11 points from 12 home games (3 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses), while Suwon boast the best away record in the league – 30 points from 12 trips (10 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), with 32 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Win Probability: Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women or Suwon Women?

Based on all available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Suwon Women win – 60%, draw – 25%, Gumi Sportstoto Sejong Women win – 15%. The odds from bookmakers (home 5.50, draw 2.52, away 1.80) imply an away win probability of around 49% after removing the margin, but Suwon’s overwhelming superiority in form, head-to-head record, and league position – especially their near-perfect away form – justifies a significant upward adjustment. The hosts’ poor home record and recent defeats further reduce their chances. Suwon Women are the clear favourites to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Suwon Women as strong favourites. The 1X2 market shows odds of 5.50 for a home win, 2.52 for the draw, and 1.80 for an away win. Some bookies even offer as short as 1.40 on Suwon. Based on the stats, the value lies with the away win. Our prediction is a Suwon Women victory, likely with a margin of two or more goals given their recent scoring form against Gumi. A 2-0 or 3-1 scoreline is a plausible outcome.