Chemnitzer FC vs SV Babelsberg 03 prediction for September 16, 2026, in the Regionalliga, points clearly to a home win. Bookmakers and stats suggest Chemnitzer FC has a 50% chance of taking all three points, while the draw sits at 30% and an away win for SV Babelsberg 03 at just 20%.
Chemnitzer FC have been in fine form, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. They beat Altglienicke 2-0 away, drew 1-1 with Carl Zeiss Jena at home, triumphed 2-0 at Lokomotive Leipzig, defeated Erzgebirge Aue 3-1 at home, and held Hallescher FC to a 0-0 draw on the road.
SV Babelsberg 03 have been less consistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home to Hallescher FC, lost 1-0 away at FSV Zwickau, won 2-0 away at BSG Chemie Leipzig, lost 4-1 at home to FC St. Pauli in a friendly, and beat Hertha Berlin II 3-1 at home.
The history heavily favours Chemnitzer FC. In 15 previous meetings, Chemnitzer have won 9 times, SV Babelsberg 03 have won only 2, with 4 draws. The most recent clash on February 27, 2026, ended in a dominant 5-1 home win for Chemnitzer. Babelsbergโs last victory over Chemnitzer was a 1-0 home win back in March 2024.
Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, Chemnitzer FC hold a 50% probability of winning this match. The draw is assessed at 30%, while SV Babelsberg 03โs chances of an away victory are just 20%. The home sideโs strong recent record and overwhelming H2H dominance are key factors, with the bookmakersโ average odds also pointing to a home win as the most likely outcome.
Odds from bookmakers reflect the expectation of a Chemnitzer victory. The average odds for a home win are 1.95, a draw is priced around 2.58, and an away win for Babelsberg at 4.25. With such pricing, a home win is clearly the favoured result. Our prediction: Chemnitzer FC to win, possibly by a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline, but the value may lie in backing the home team on the 1X2 market.