SV Darmstadt 98 - Magdeburg prediction 31 October 2026

Our SV Darmstadt 98 vs Magdeburg prediction for this Bundesliga 2 match on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 leans towards the home side at Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, SV Darmstadt 98 has a 36% chance of winning, a draw sits at 38%, while Magdeburg holds a 26% probability of taking all three points.

Team Form

SV Darmstadt 98 come into this fixture with a mixed run of results, recording D, L, W, W, L in their last five matches. At home, they drew 0-0 with FC St. Pauli and claimed a 3-1 win over Energie Cottbus, but suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Karlsruher SC and a 5-1 loss at VfL Wolfsburg. Magdeburg’s recent form reads W, L, W, D, W. They are coming off an impressive 6-1 home victory against Karlsruher SC and a 3-0 win over Hannover 96, though they did lose 2-0 at Dynamo Dresden in their last away match.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, SV Darmstadt 98 have dominated this fixture with 9 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss to Magdeburg. The last two meetings, however, both ended in draws — 1-1 in Magdeburg in March 2026 and 0-0 at this venue in October 2025. Magdeburg's sole victory in this series was a 4-1 home win in March 2025.

League Table Positions

Magdeburg currently sit 5th in the Bundesliga 2 standings with 16 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 20 goals and conceding 12. SV Darmstadt 98 are not in the top 8 of the overall table but hold the 8th spot in the home standings with 8 points from 5 home games (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Magdeburg's away form is not among the league's best, as they are outside the top 8 for away records.

Win Probability: SV Darmstadt 98 or Magdeburg?

To calculate the win probabilities, we started with the median bookmaker odds from the available data: a home win at 2.70, a draw at 2.45, and an away win at 2.58. Converting these to implied probabilities gives 37% for a home win, 41% for a draw, and 39% for an away win. After normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, the base probabilities settle at roughly 32% for SV Darmstadt 98, 35% for a draw, and 33% for Magdeburg. We then adjusted these figures based on team form and head-to-head stats. SV Darmstadt 98's strong historical advantage at home (9 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss overall) and compact home defensive record (5 goals conceded in 5 home matches) warrants an upgrade to their chances, while Magdeburg’s inconsistent away form and recent 2-0 loss at Dynamo Dresden lead to a downgrade. Consequently, SV Darmstadt 98 has a 36% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Magdeburg has a 26% chance of victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a competitive market for this fixture. The best available odds are 2.82 for a home win, 4.00 for a draw, and 2.62 for an away win, though typical odds cluster around 2.70 (SV Darmstadt 98), 2.45 (draw), and 2.58 (Magdeburg), indicating a very open contest with the draw priced as the slight favorite outcome. Based on the head-to-head dominance and home advantage, SV Darmstadt 98 are the value pick, but the recent two draws between the sides suggest a stalemate is the most probable single result. Our final SV Darmstadt 98 vs Magdeburg prediction is a draw, with a low-scoring match expected.