Johvi FC Phoenix - Tabasalu Jk Charma prediction 19 September 2026

Looking for a Johvi FC Phoenix vs Tabasalu Jk Charma prediction? This Esiliiga B meeting on Sep 19 sees Johvi FC Phoenix as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability. The match kicks off at 16:00 and promises an intriguing battle between a top‑three side in red‑hot form and a struggling Tabasalu Jk Charma outfit.

Team Form

Johvi FC Phoenix come into this match with four wins from their last five outings (W‑W‑L‑W‑W). They beat Tallinna Kalev 2 4‑3, won 3‑2 away at Parnu JK Vaprus 2, lost 2‑6 to FCI Levadia Tallinn U19, then bounced back with a 3‑0 win against FA Tartu Kalev and a 3‑2 win at Tammeka Tartu Reserves. The attack has been firing, while the only blip came against the second‑placed side.

Tabasalu Jk Charma’s recent form is poor: D‑L‑W‑L‑L. A 1‑1 home draw with Tallinna JK Legion was followed by a 1‑4 defeat at Tallinna Kalev 2, a 3‑2 home win over Tammeka Tartu Reserves, a 0‑4 loss at JK Narva Trans II and a 0‑6 thrashing at Parnu JK Vaprus 2. On the road, Tabasalu have shipped 16 goals in their last four away games, a clear sign of defensive fragility.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record is perfectly balanced: two home wins, three draws and two away wins. The last meeting, on Aug 20, 2026, ended in a 2‑2 draw. Earlier this year, Tabasalu Jk Charma won 2‑1 away at Johvi FC Phoenix (May 9) and repeated that 2‑1 scoreline at home (Apr 18). Both teams tend to find the net when they meet – three of the last four fixtures have seen both sides score.

League Table Positions

Johvi FC Phoenix (listed as 1976 Phoenix) sit 3rd in Esiliiga B with 51 points from 29 games (16 wins, 3 draws, 10 losses). Their home record is outstanding – 10 wins, 0 draws and only 2 losses in 12 matches, with 42 goals scored and 29 conceded.

Tabasalu Jk Charma occupy 8th place with 33 points (10 wins, 3 draws, 16 losses). Away from home, they have managed just 4 wins and 12 losses in 16 attempts, scoring 20 and conceding 51. The 18‑point gap and the contrasting home/away records underline Johvi’s dominance.

Win Probability: Johvi FC Phoenix or Tabasalu Jk Charma?

Johvi FC Phoenix has a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Tabasalu Jk Charma has a 10% chance. This calculation is based on Johvi’s near‑perfect home league record (83% win rate), Tabasalu’s woeful away form (25% win rate) and the recent H2H balance. While the head‑to‑head suggests Tabasalu can be competitive, the current gap in form and league position weighs heavily in the home side’s favour.

Odds & Match Prediction

Match odds are not available in the current data set. However, bookmakers would likely price Johvi FC Phoenix as strong favourites. Taking all the stats into account, the prediction points to a Johvi FC Phoenix win. The home side’s attacking output and Tabasalu’s leaky defence also suggest a match with over 2.5 total goals.