Tabor Sezana - NK Bistrica prediction 26 September 2026

Tabor Sezana vs NK Bistrica prediction: the 2 SNL clash on Sep 26, 2026, at 18:00 heavily favors the league leaders. Tabor Sezana has a 55% win probability, the draw is at 25%, and NK Bistrica has a 20% chance of an away upset.

Team Form

Tabor Sezana’s recent form (L, W, D, W, W) shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. The heavy 5-1 defeat at Beltinci on Sep 19 was a setback, but they bounced back with a 5-1 home win over Dravinja and a 6-0 thrashing of Krsko. At home, Tabor Sezana are perfect this season: three wins, seven goals scored, and just one conceded.

NK Bistrica come into this match with a mixed run (L, W, L, W, W). They lost 3-1 away to Dravinja and 1-0 at Triglav Kranj, but beat NK Brezice 1919 (2-1), Dren Vrhnika (2-0), and Bilje (4-1). On the road, Bistrica have one win, one draw, and two losses, scoring five and conceding five.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between these sides give NK Bistrica a slight edge: two wins for Bistrica, one for Tabor Sezana, and one draw. The most recent encounter on Apr 12, 2026, ended 2-1 to NK Bistrica at their ground. However, Tabor Sezana won the previous home fixture 2-1 on Sep 28, 2025. The other results were a 0-0 draw in April 2025 and a 1-0 Bistrica win in September 2023.

League Table Positions

Tabor Sezana sit top of the 2 SNL with 16 points from seven matches (5W, 1D, 1L), scoring 17 and conceding only 6. NK Bistrica are down in 9th place with 10 points (3W, 1D, 3L) and a goal difference of 9:12. The home/away split further highlights the gap: Tabor have a 100% home record (3 wins, 7:1 goals), while Bistrica’s away form reads 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses (5:5 goals).

Win Probability: Tabor Sezana or NK Bistrica?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities: Tabor Sezana 55%, draw 25%, NK Bistrica 20%. Bookmakers’ odds implied a home win chance of around 46%, but Tabor’s dominant home form and top position justify a higher figure. NK Bistrica’s inconsistent away performances and lower table rank reduce their chances, though their recent H2H win shows they can compete.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds see Tabor Sezana priced at 1.91 to 1.95 for the home win, the draw at 2.28 to 2.40, and an NK Bistrica away victory at 5.55 to 6.00. Bookmakers clearly see Tabor Sezana as the favorite. Our Tabor Sezana vs NK Bistrica prediction is a home win, with the league leaders expected to continue their strong run at this venue.