| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | +7 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 9 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
The Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo FC prediction for the Segunda Division match on Sep 28 at 23:00 gives the home side a 40% chance to win, a draw 30%, and the visitors 30%. Bookmakers also see Paysandu FC as a slight favorite, but the head-to-head record points to a tight contest.
Paysandu FC's last five matches across all competitions show mixed results: two wins, two draws, and one loss (D, L, W, W, D). Most recently, they drew 1-1 away to Plaza Colonia on Sep 19. Before that, they lost 0-1 at home to La Luz on Sep 12, but bounced back with a 2-1 win at Cerrito on Sep 5 and a 2-0 home victory over Atenas on Aug 29. Their earlier 0-0 home draw against River Plate Montevideo on Aug 22 completes the run.
Tacuarembo FC come into this match with a poor recent form: three losses and two draws (D, D, L, L, L). They held Huracan FC to a 1-1 home draw on Sep 20 and drew 2-2 at Uruguay Montevideo on Sep 12. However, they suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Oriental La Paz on Sep 6, a 0-1 loss at Colon FC on Aug 29, and a 0-2 home reverse against Atletico Fenix Montevideo on Aug 23. Tacuarembo have not won any of their last five fixtures.
The two previous meetings between these sides both went to Tacuarembo FC. On Jun 20, 2026, in a Segunda Division match, Tacuarembo FC won 1-0 at home. Earlier, on Feb 15, 2025, they secured a 1-0 away win at Paysandu FC in the Amateur Cup. Overall, head-to-head stats show Tacuarembo FC with two wins, zero draws, and zero wins for Paysandu FC.
In the overall Segunda Division standings, Paysandu FC occupy 11th place with 4 points from 6 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses). Their goal difference is -3 (4 scored, 7 conceded). Tacuarembo FC's league position is not shown in the available table, so a direct comparison is not possible.
Based on the betting odds, head-to-head record, and current form, the win probabilities are: Paysandu FC 40%, draw 30%, Tacuarembo FC 30%. The odds imply a narrow edge for the home team (normalized from home 2.43, draw 3.22, away 3.33), and their slightly better recent results strengthen that edge. However, Tacuarembo's perfect head-to-head record (2 wins from 2) and the home side's low league position prevent a larger gap. The draw option remains a serious possibility given both teams' inability to dominate consistently.
Bookmakers price a Paysandu FC win at odds as low as 2.20 up to 2.43. The draw trades between 2.00 and 3.30, while a Tacuarembo FC victory can be backed at 2.95 to 3.40. These quotes reflect a market that sees the home side as a marginal favourite. Taking all available stats into account, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Paysandu FC, but a draw would not surprise. For safer betting tips, the double chance 1X covers the two most probable results.