Plaza Colonia - Tacuarembo FC prediction 24 October 2026

The Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo FC prediction sees the hosts as clear favorites for this Segunda Division clash on Oct 24 at 23:00. Based on league standings and head-to-head data, Plaza Colonia has a 62% chance of winning, while Tacuarembo FC holds just a 12% probability of an away victory.

Team Form

Plaza Colonia come into this match with a fairly solid recent record. Their last five outings show a win, three draws, and a single loss: a 2-1 home victory over River Plate Montevideo, a 1-1 draw at La Luz, a 1-3 home defeat against Cerrito, a 0-0 stalemate at Atenas, and a 1-1 home draw with Paysandu FC. They have been tough to beat, but too many draws have crept in.

Tacuarembo FC, by contrast, are struggling badly. Their form guide reads three defeats and two draws from the last five matches. They lost 0-1 at home to La Luz, went down 1-2 at Cerrito, fell 0-1 at home versus Atenas, drew 2-2 at Paysandu FC, and also drew 1-1 at home with Huracan FC. The away side has not recorded a win in this sequence.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Plaza Colonia. Across the last two meetings, both played in July 2026 and both in the Segunda Division, Plaza Colonia won one and drew one, with no Tacuarembo FC wins. The most recent encounter on Jul 25 ended in a 0-2 away win for Plaza Colonia, while the fixture on Jul 19 finished 0-0. Across two matches, Plaza Colonia have scored twice and conceded zero.

League Table Positions

Plaza Colonia sit 2nd in the overall standings with 12 points from 6 matches, having recorded 3 wins and 3 draws, with 9 goals scored and just 2 conceded. At home, they are equally 2nd, with 2 wins and a draw from 3 games. Tacuarembo FC do not feature in the available top-eight places of any standing split, indicating a significantly lower position and a weaker campaign so far.

Win Probability: Plaza Colonia or Tacuarembo FC?

Plaza Colonia has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Tacuarembo FC has a 12% chance. These percentages are calculated by weighting the head-to-head dominance (no losses in two meetings), the major gap in league table positions (2nd overall and home vs outside top eight), Plaza Colonia’s home unbeaten record, and Tacuarembo FC’s run of no wins in five. With home advantage and far superior defensive numbers, Plaza Colonia are the clear favorites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific odds for the 1X2 market were not supplied in the data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would see Plaza Colonia as the strong favorite to win this Segunda Division contest. A home win is the most likely outcome, but the frequency of draws in Plaza Colonia’s recent matches means a tight contest cannot be ruled out entirely.