Al Nejmeh - Tadamon Sour prediction 12 October 2026
Al Nejmeh
Tadamon Sour
Al Arabi KuwaitAl NejmehHoms Al FidaaAl NejmehAl NejmehIstiklol DushanbeAl NejmehTadamon SourAl Akhaa Al AhliAl NejmehAl NejmehAl Ansar BeirutAl NejmehAl AhedAl NejmehJwaaya FCAl Ansar BeirutAl NejmehAl AhedAl NejmehJwaaya FCAl NejmehAl HikmaAl NejmehAl NejmehRacing BeirutAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehAl MabarrahTripoliTadamon SourTadamon SourAl Akhaa Al AhliAl NejmehTadamon SourShabab Al SahelTadamon SourReyady AbaseyaTadamon SourTadamon SourRacing BeirutTadamon SourReyady AbaseyaRacing BeirutTadamon SourTadamon SourAl Ansar BeirutAl HikmaTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourTadamon SourRacing BeirutTadamon SourAl MabarrahAl HikmaTadamon SourTadamon SourJwaaya FCAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourTadamon SourAl NejmehAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourTadamon SourAl NejmehAl NejmehTadamon SourTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon SourAl NejmehTadamon Sour| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jwaaya FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tadamon Sour | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Safa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Al Ahed | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Tripoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 |
| 6 | Al Nejmeh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al Mabarrah | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 9 |  Al Hikma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 |  Reyady Abaseya | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 |  Shabab Al Sahel | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 |  Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour Prediction (Oct 12)
Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour prediction: this Premier League match in Lebanon kicks off on Oct 12 at 14:00. Based on the 1X2 odds, head-to-head record and current form, Al Nejmeh are the clear favorite with a 77% win probability.
Team Form
Al Nejmeh enter this game with results of W, L, W, W, D in their last five league matches. They beat Al Akhaa Al Ahli 2-0 on Oct 8, lost 1-2 to Al Ansar Beirut, beat Al Ahed 2-1, beat Jwaaya FC 2-1 and drew 1-1 with Al Ansar Beirut.
Tadamon Sour also have a solid recent run with W, L, W, D, W. They won 1-0 at Shabab Al Sahel on Oct 8, lost 2-1 at Reyady Abaseya, beat Racing Beirut 1-0, drew 0-0 with Reyady Abaseya and won 3-1 at Racing Beirut.
Head-to-Head Record
Al Nejmeh have dominated this fixture: 11 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in the recorded head-to-head meetings. The last five results include Al Nejmeh 1-0 Tadamon Sour on Jun 25, 2026, Tadamon Sour 0-0 Al Nejmeh on Dec 12, 2025, Al Nejmeh 4-1 Tadamon Sour on Jul 17, 2025, Al Nejmeh 5-1 Tadamon Sour on Jun 21, 2025 and Tadamon Sour 1-1 Al Nejmeh on May 7, 2025.
League Table Positions
After one match, Al Nejmeh sit 2nd in the Premier League with 3 points from a 2-0 away win. Tadamon Sour are 5th with 3 points from a 1-0 away win. Both teams have a perfect start, but Al Nejmeh hold the better goal difference.
Win Probability: Al Nejmeh or Tadamon Sour?
The win probability is Al Nejmeh 77%, draw 16%, and Tadamon Sour 7%. These percentages are calculated from the inverse of the median 1X2 odds โ 1.17 for Al Nejmeh, 5.25 for the draw and 11.00 for Tadamon Sour โ normalized to remove bookmaker margin, then adjusted for the 11-3-0 head-to-head record and home advantage. The draw remains a possible outcome because Tadamon Sour have drawn two of the last five meetings, but Tadamon Sour have never beaten Al Nejmeh in the recorded head-to-head.
Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour Prediction and Betting Tips
Bookmakers have Al Nejmeh between 1.16 and 1.22 to win, the draw between 2.50 and 6.56, and Tadamon Sour between 9.50 and 17.67. For betting tips, the 1X2 odds heavily favor Al Nejmeh, although the home win price is short. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an Al Nejmeh home win, with a 77% chance for Al Nejmeh, 16% for the draw and 7% for Tadamon Sour.
Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour โ FAQ
- Who will win Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour?
- Al Nejmeh are the clear favorite. Based on odds and head-to-head data, Al Nejmeh has a 77% chance of winning, the draw is at 16%, and Tadamon Sour has a 7% chance.
- What is the win probability for Al Nejmeh?
- Al Nejmeh has a 77% chance of winning this match. This comes from normalized 1X2 odds and is supported by an 11-3-0 head-to-head record against Tadamon Sour.
- When is the Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour match?
- The match is on Oct 12, 2026 at 14:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Lebanon.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds range from 1.16 to 1.22 for an Al Nejmeh win, 2.50 to 6.56 for the draw, and 9.50 to 17.67 for Tadamon Sour. The median odds are 1.17 home, 5.25 draw, and 11.00 away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Al Nejmeh and Tadamon Sour?
- Al Nejmeh have won 11, drawn 3, and lost 0 against Tadamon Sour. In their last five meetings, Al Nejmeh won three and two ended level.