Tallinna JK Legion - JK Narva Trans II prediction 26 September 2026

Tallinna JK Legion vs JK Narva Trans II prediction for 26 September 2026 in the Estonian Esiliiga B points to a dominant performance from the visitors. Based on a comprehensive analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, JK Narva Trans II hold an estimated 85% chance of winning this match.

Team Form

Tallinna JK Legion come into this game in dreadful shape, with just one point from their last five matches (0–12 loss at Parnu JK Vaprus 2, 1–1 draw at Tabasalu Jk Charma, 1–2 home loss to FA Tartu Kalev, 0–3 loss at Viljandi Tulevik, and 1–5 home defeat to Parnu JK Vaprus 2). They have conceded 23 goals in that span, scoring only three.

In contrast, JK Narva Trans II have won five straight, keeping four clean sheets. Their recent results include a 2–1 win at Tallinna Kalev 2, 1–0 home victories against Tammeka Tartu Reserves and FCI Levadia Tallinn U19, a 1–0 away win at FA Tartu Kalev, and a 4–0 home thrashing of Tabasalu Jk Charma. They have scored 9 goals and allowed just one in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history is incredibly one-sided. JK Narva Trans II have won all seven previous encounters, with no draws and no wins for Tallinna JK Legion. The aggregate score across those matches is 31–5. The most recent meeting on 9 August 2026 saw JK Narva Trans II win 3–1 away at Tallinna JK Legion. Earlier in the 2026 season, the reverse fixture ended 5–0 to the Trans II side.

League Table Positions

Tallinna JK Legion sit rock bottom of the Esiliiga B standings in 10th place, with just 3 wins, 4 draws, and 22 losses from 29 matches. They have shipped a league-worst 111 goals while scoring only 28, leaving them on 13 points. JK Narva Trans II’s league position is not available in the provided data; however, their flawless form and head-to-head dominance indicate they are firmly among the title challengers.

Win Probability: Tallinna JK Legion or JK Narva Trans II?

Taking all the data into account—form, head-to-head record, league positions, and the home/away factor—we assign the following win probabilities for this match:

• Tallinna JK Legion win: 5%
• Draw: 10%
• JK Narva Trans II win: 85%

The home side’s defensive frailties and lack of confidence, combined with the visitors’ dominant streak and psychological edge from seven straight wins in this fixture, make an away win the most likely outcome by a huge margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are provided in the data for this fixture. Nevertheless, if odds were available, JK Narva Trans II would be heavily odds-on favorites, likely at prices reflecting an 85% implied probability. Tallinna JK Legion would be big outsiders. Based on the statistical analysis, the most probable outcome is a comfortable away win, with a high chance of over 2.5 total goals. Our final prediction: JK Narva Trans II to win, and the match to see at least three goals.