Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi MRJK prediction 10 October 2026

The Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK prediction looks at the Esiliiga clash on Oct 10 at 13:00. This match sees away side Viimsi MRJK as the favorite, with our Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK prediction giving them a 47% chance of victory, compared to Tallinna Kalev's 34% and a 19% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Tallinna Kalev come into this match in inconsistent form. Their last five games across all competitions have produced three draws and two losses: a 3-2 loss at Elva, a 2-2 home draw with Flora Tallinn II, a 0-0 stalemate at FC Maardu, a 2-1 loss at Nomme United 2, and a 1-1 home draw against Tartu JK Welco Elekter. They have won just one of their last nine Esiliiga matches at home, drawing four.

Viimsi MRJK have struggled for consistency as well, recording one win and four losses in their last five outings. Most recently, they suffered a 4-1 cup defeat at Tammeka Tartu. In Esiliiga play, they lost 2-0 at home to Tartu JK Welco Elekter, 1-0 at Nomme United 2, and 2-1 at home to FC Tallinn, but did record a 5-0 home thrashing of Elva. Away form has been a strength: 8 wins from 15 league road matches this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record across all competitions slightly favors Viimsi MRJK, who have 3 wins to Tallinna Kalev's 2, with 3 draws in the 8 listed meetings. The most recent encounter, on Aug 3, saw Tallinna Kalev win 2-1 away. However, in the Esiliiga meeting in May, Viimsi MRJK won 3-0 in Tallinn. The last six competitive meetings show both teams trading wins, with no clear pattern of dominance.

League Table Positions

Viimsi MRJK sit 2nd in the Esiliiga table with 50 points from 30 matches, highlighting a strong season. Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 37 points from 29 games. The home table shows Tallinna Kalev in 7th on 23 points from 15 matches (6 wins, 5 draws), while in the away table, Viimsi MRJK rank 2nd with 27 points from 15 matches (8 wins, 3 draws). There is a 13-point gap between the sides, underlining Viimsi MRJK's higher standing this campaign.

Win Probability: Tallinna Kalev or Viimsi MRJK?

Based on the odds, league standings, and recent form, the calculated win probabilities for this match are: Tallinna Kalev win: 34%, Draw: 19%, Viimsi MRJK win: 47%. These percentages are derived from the average bookmaker implied probabilities, adjusted for the 13-point gap in the table, Viimsi MRJK's superior away record (8 wins), and Tallinna Kalev's struggles to convert draws into wins at home. Viimsi MRJK has a clear edge, but Tallinna Kalev's recent H2H win in August adds a note of caution.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a tight market, with the lowest best odds showing Tallinna Kalev at 2.62, the draw at 2.45, and Viimsi MRJK at 2.05. The odds indicate Viimsi MRJK as the favorite, but not overwhelmingly so. Our Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi MRJK prediction: based on the stats, Viimsi MRJK is the more likely winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Tallinna Kalev's high number of recent stalemates.