Tartu JK Tammeka 2 - Viljandi Tulevik prediction 10 September 2026

The Tammeka Tartu Reserves vs Viljandi Tulevik prediction for September 10, 2026, points to a tight Esiliiga B contest in Estonia. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Tammeka Tartu Reserves enters as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Viljandi Tulevik holds a 35% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 16:00 UTC.

Team Form

Tammeka Tartu Reserves are struggling badly, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches. They fell 3-2 to Tabasalu Jk Charma, lost 5-2 at home to FCI Levadia Tallinn U19, were beaten 3-2 by Johvi FC Phoenix, lost 2-1 at FA Tartu Kalev, and drew 3-3 at Tallinna JK Legion. This run shows defensive frailties, conceding 15 goals in those five games.

Viljandi Tulevik’s form is mixed but slightly better: one win, two draws, and two losses. They beat Tallinna JK Legion 3-0 at home, lost 2-1 at Tallinna Kalev 2, drew 3-3 with JK Narva Trans II, drew 2-2 at Parnu JK Vaprus 2, and lost 4-1 at home to FCI Levadia Tallinn U19. They have been more competitive, scoring in four of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Tammeka Tartu Reserves dominates this fixture with 4 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss against Viljandi Tulevik. The most recent meetings underline that trend: a 0-0 draw on August 1, 2026, a 2-2 draw on June 22, 2026, and a 3-1 home win for Tammeka Tartu Reserves on April 26, 2026. The last five H2H clashes produced three draws and two Tammeka Tartu Reserves victories, with Viljandi Tulevik failing to win any of them.

League Table Positions

Viljandi Tulevik sits 7th in the Esiliiga B overall standings with 41 points from 27 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses). They have scored 67 goals and conceded 54. Tammeka Tartu Reserves is not in the top 10, indicating a lower league position and a weaker campaign. In home records, Viljandi Tulevik is 4th (28 points from 16 home games), while Tammeka Tartu Reserves is unranked in the top 8. Away, Viljandi Tulevik ranks 6th with 13 points from 11 trips. The table gap gives Viljandi Tulevik a clear edge in overall quality.

Win Probability: Tammeka Tartu Reserves or Viljandi Tulevik?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove margins and adjusting for recent form and league positions, the win probabilities are: Tammeka Tartu Reserves 40%, draw 25%, Viljandi Tulevik 35%. The odds initially implied a 44% home win chance, but Tammeka Tartu Reserves’ dreadful form (four straight defeats) and lower league standing reduce that figure. Viljandi Tulevik’s slightly better results and mid-table safety boost their chances, though a poor away record (4 wins in 11 away games) keeps them from being the outright favorite. The head-to-head dominance of Tammeka Tartu Reserves prevents a larger swing. Overall, this is a match where the home side has a marginal advantage, but an away win is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for this fixture. The average 1X2 line across four major books is: home win 2.00, draw 3.64, away win 2.71. Some outliers include a draw as high as 4.50 and an away win as low as 2.60. These prices reflect the expectation of a close game. Based on the stats, the most likely result is a narrow Tammeka Tartu Reserves victory, but the form gap makes a draw or an away win equally plausible. Our prediction: Tammeka Tartu Reserves to win, but with low confidence. A bet on the double chance (home or draw) could be a safer option.