Tampereen Ilves Women - HPS Women prediction 18 October 2026

The HPS Women vs Tampereen Ilves Women prediction for the Kansallinen Liga Women match on Jul 25 at 11:00 points to HPS Women as the favorite. Based on form, head-to-head record, and league standings, HPS Women has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Tampereen Ilves Women has a 24% chance.

Team Form

HPS Women come into this match with strong recent form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 4-0 away defeat to HJK Helsinki Women on Jul 19. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against VIFK Vaasa Women on Jul 12, and secured three consecutive wins: a 4-0 away victory over EBK Women in the Cup Women on Jul 08, a 1-0 away win against PK-35 Vantaa Women on Jul 04, and a 5-1 home win over SJK-j Apollo Women in the Cup Women on Jul 01.

Tampereen Ilves Women have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. Their latest match was a 2-2 home draw against IF Gnistan Women on Jul 18. They claimed an impressive 4-2 away win at KuPs Kuopion Palloseura Women on Jul 12, but suffered back-to-back home defeats: 0-2 against Aland United Women on Jul 04 and 1-3 against HJK Helsinki Women on Jun 27. Their other recent win was a 3-0 away victory at VIFK Vaasa Women on Jun 14.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Tampereen Ilves Women have the edge with 6 wins, while HPS Women have 3 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent encounter was on May 22, 2026, when Tampereen Ilves Women won 1-0 at home. HPS Women's last win in this fixture was a 1-0 away victory on Aug 26, 2023. The only draw came on Jun 10, 2023, a 1-1 result when HPS Women were at home. Notable high-scoring matches include a 4-0 home win for Tampereen Ilves Women on Aug 27, 2022, and a 5-0 home win for HPS Women on May 28, 2022.

League Table Positions

HPS Women sit 4th in the Kansallinen Liga Women overall standings with 24 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 18 goals and conceded 13. At home, they are 3rd with 13 points from 6 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Tampereen Ilves Women are 5th overall with 19 points from 13 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses), scoring 25 and conceding 25. Away from home, they are 4th with 12 points from 6 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). The 5-point gap and HPS Women's superior home record give them a clear advantage.

Win Probability: HPS Women or Tampereen Ilves Women?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: HPS Women 48%, draw 28%, Tampereen Ilves Women 24%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home win around 1.93, draw 2.62, away win 4.44 on average), adjusted for the home team's stronger recent form (W-W-W-D-L vs D-W-L-L-W), a better league position, and a solid home record. Although Tampereen Ilves Women have a historical head-to-head advantage, HPS Women's current momentum and home pitch make them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see HPS Women as the favorite, with the best available odds at 1.95 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.65, while an away win for Tampereen Ilves Women is at 4.50. These odds reflect HPS Women's higher league standing and home advantage. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a narrow home victory, but the draw also holds significant value given both teams' recent results.