IF Gnistan Women - Tampereen Ilves Women prediction 26 September 2026

Our IF Gnistan Women vs Tampereen Ilves Women prediction for the Kansallinen Liga Women match on Sep 26, 2026, at 10:30 points to a closely contested battle. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, IF Gnistan Women enter as slight favorites with a 42% win probability, while Tampereen Ilves Women hold a 33% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

IF Gnistan Women's recent form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, L, W). Their only win came against Tampereen Ilves Women on Aug 15. They have conceded 14 goals in these five games, including a 6-1 defeat to HJK Helsinki Women on Sep 19.

Tampereen Ilves Women are in even worse shape, losing all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L). They have conceded 13 goals in this period, with a heavy 5-2 home loss to HJK Helsinki Women on Sep 12. Both teams are struggling defensively.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between IF Gnistan Women and Tampereen Ilves Women have been evenly split: one win for each side and one draw. The most recent clash on Aug 15, 2026, saw IF Gnistan Women win 2-1 away. Earlier in the season, Tampereen Ilves Women won 3-2 on May 17, and they drew 2-2 on Jul 18. The H2H record suggests goals are likely, with all three matches producing over 2.5 goals.

League Table Positions

Only the top team's standings are available in the provided data. HJK Helsinki Women lead the Kansallinen Liga Women with 39 points from 14 matches. The exact positions of IF Gnistan Women and Tampereen Ilves Women are not specified, but their recent form indicates both are likely in the lower half of the table.

Win Probability: IF Gnistan Women or Tampereen Ilves Women?

Based on the available data, IF Gnistan Women have a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Tampereen Ilves Women have a 33% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of standard odds implied by form and H2H, adjusted for home advantage. IF Gnistan Women's recent H2H win and slightly better form (one win in five vs. zero) give them the edge, but Tampereen Ilves Women's away win in May keeps the contest open. The high probability of a draw reflects the teams' overall inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the provided data. Based on the stats, IF Gnistan Women are the narrow favorites. The head-to-head record and both teams' defensive struggles point to a match with goals. Our IF Gnistan Women vs Tampereen Ilves Women prediction is a home win, but a draw is a realistic outcome given the teams' form.