Tanta - Sporting Alexandria prediction 22 September 2026

This Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria prediction covers the Cup match in Egypt on Sep 22, 2026 at 14:00. Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Tanta is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while the draw is at 31% and Sporting Alexandria has a 17% chance.

Team Form

Tanta's last five results are W, L, L, D, W. They beat Al Nasr Cairo 1-0 at home on Sep 17, lost 3-1 away to Telecom Egypt on Sep 11, lost 0-1 at home to Masar on Sep 4, drew 0-0 away with Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat on Aug 27, and beat Team FC Cairo 2-1 at home on Aug 21. Tanta's home form in that run shows two wins and one defeat. Across those five matches, Tanta scored four goals and conceded five.

Sporting Alexandria's last five results are L, W, L, D, L. They lost 0-1 away to El Olympi on Sep 16, beat Delphi 4-1 at home on Sep 9, lost 0-1 away to Alexandria Petroleum on Apr 29, drew 0-0 at home with Al Magd Al Sakandry on Apr 22, and lost 0-1 away to Delphi on Apr 15. Sporting Alexandria have lost all three of their recent away matches. They scored four goals and conceded four in their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in the Second Division. Tanta has one win, one draw, and Sporting Alexandria has zero wins. On Dec 1, 2024, Tanta won 3-0 at home. On Apr 9, 2025, Sporting Alexandria drew 0-0 at home with Tanta.

Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria Prediction: Win Probability

This Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria prediction is based on the odds and adjusted for form. Tanta has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Sporting Alexandria has a 17% chance. The bookmaker odds imply a home advantage, and Tanta's unbeaten H2H record plus Sporting Alexandria's poor away form support that edge.

We calculated the base probabilities from the inverse of the average odds and normalized them to remove the bookmaker margin. The average home odds were 1.92, draw odds 2.61, and away odds 4.93. The base probabilities were 47.0% for Tanta, 34.7% for the draw, and 18.3% for Sporting Alexandria. After adjusting for Tanta's stronger home results and Sporting Alexandria's away losses, the conclusion is that Tanta is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Tanta as the favorite. The 1X2 odds range from 1.67 to 2.10 for a Tanta win, 2.25 to 3.20 for the draw, and 4.80 to 5.00 for a Sporting Alexandria win.

• Home win: 1.67 – 2.10
• Draw: 2.25 – 3.20
• Away win: 4.80 – 5.00

Based on the stats, the best match prediction is a Tanta win. The home side has the stronger recent home form, a positive H2H record, and the odds support that outcome. For betting tips, the home win is the most likely outcome, but the draw odds at 2.25–3.20 may offer value. The draw is also a realistic result given Sporting Alexandria's two draws in their last five and the 0-0 H2H draw. The final Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria prediction is a home win.