Ekibastuz FK - Taraz prediction 22 October 2026
Ekibastuz FK
TarazEkibastuz FKTaraz
Kairat ZhastarEkibastuz FKEkibastuz FKKhan TengryAstana 2Ekibastuz FKEkibastuz FKFC Tobol Kostanay 2FC ArysEkibastuz FKEkibastuz FKFC Turan TurkistanAcademy OntustykEkibastuz FKEkibastuz FKJaiyqAktobe IIEkibastuz FKEkibastuz FKFC Yelimay ReserveKaspiy Aktau 2Ekibastuz FKEkibastuz FKShakhter KaragandaEkibastuz FKFC Kairat Almaty ReserveKhan TengryEkibastuz FKEkibastuz FKTarazTalas Karatau FCTarazTarazKaspiy Aktau 2TarazKairat ZhastarTarazKaisar Kyzylorda ReserveShakhter KaragandaTarazChromtau FCTarazTarazKhan TengryAstana 2TarazTarazFC Tobol Kostanay 2FC ArysTarazTarazFC Turan TurkistanJaiyqTarazTarazAcademy OntustykFC Yelimay ReserveTarazEkibastuz FKTarazTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FKTarazEkibastuz FK| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhter Karaganda | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 66:9 | +57 | 65 |
| 2 |  Kairat Zhastar | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 69:13 | +56 | 60 |
| 3 |  FC Turan Turkistan | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 53:22 | +31 | 54 |
| 4 |  Academy Ontustyk | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36:30 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 |  Astana 2 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 49:50 | -1 | 36 |
| 6 | Taraz | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 36:33 | +3 | 34 |
| 7 |  Jaiyq | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 |  FC Arys | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 |
| 9 |  Khan Tengry | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 29 |
| 10 |  Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 28 |
| 11 | Ekibastuz FK | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 32:56 | -24 | 27 |
| 12 |  Aktobe II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 43:75 | -32 | 24 |
| 13 |  FC Tobol Kostanay 2 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 48:62 | -14 | 20 |
| 14 |  FC Yelimay Reserve | 25 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 20:57 | -37 | 12 |
Ekibastuz FK vs Taraz Prediction (Oct 22)
The Ekibastuz FK vs Taraz prediction for October 22, 2026, in Kazakhstan's 1st Division points to an away win. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Taraz has a 55% chance of winning, while Ekibastuz FK has just a 20% chance, with a 25% probability of a draw.
Team Form
Ekibastuz FK come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results read L, D, L, L, L. They suffered a 2-0 defeat at Kairat Zhastar, a 1-1 home draw with Khan Tengry, a heavy 7-1 loss at Astana 2, a 5-1 home loss to FC Tobol Kostanay 2, and a 3-1 defeat at FC Arys. Defensively, they have conceded 18 goals in those five outings.
Taraz, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five matches with a record of W, W, D, D, D. They won 2-0 at Talas Karatau FC, thrashed Kaspiy Aktau 2 5-0 at home, drew 1-1 with Kairat Zhastar, played out a 0-0 draw with Kaisar Kyzylorda Reserve, and drew 0-0 at Shakhter Karaganda. The visitors have kept three clean sheets in that run.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met 16 times previously. Taraz dominate the head-to-head with 8 wins, while Ekibastuz FK have won just once, and 7 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounters underline that pattern: Taraz won 3-0 at home in April 2026 and 1-0 in September 2025, while Ekibastuz FK's sole victory was a 4-1 home win in June 2025. Taraz have won two of the last three meetings.
League Table Positions
In the 1st Division standings, Taraz sit 6th with 34 points from 25 games (9 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses), scoring 36 and conceding 33. Ekibastuz FK are 11th with 27 points (7 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses), with a goal difference of -24 (32 scored, 56 conceded). The seven-point gap and superior goal difference highlight Taraz's stronger campaign.
Win Probability: Ekibastuz FK or Taraz?
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Taraz 55%, Draw 25%, Ekibastuz FK 20%. Taraz's clear head-to-head advantage (8 wins to 1), their current unbeaten streak, and higher league position make them the favorites. Ekibastuz FK's home form has been poorโthey have collected only 14 points from 12 home gamesโwhile Taraz have managed just 2 away wins all season, which slightly increases the chance of a draw. Nevertheless, the most likely outcome is an away victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds are not currently available for this fixture. However, based on the statistical analysis, Taraz is the predicted winner. For betting tips, backing Taraz to win looks the safest option. A low-scoring away win, such as 1-0 or 2-0, is a plausible scoreline given Taraz's recent defensive solidity and Ekibastuz FK's struggles in front of goal.
Ekibastuz FK vs Taraz โ FAQ
- Who will win Ekibastuz FK vs Taraz?
- Taraz are the favorites to win. They have a 55% win probability, compared to 20% for Ekibastuz FK and 25% for a draw, based on head-to-head dominance and current form.
- What is the win probability for Taraz?
- Taraz have a 55% chance of winning. This high probability reflects their 8 wins to 1 in the head-to-head record, their unbeaten run in the last five matches, and Ekibastuz FK's four losses in their last five outings.
- When is the Ekibastuz FK vs Taraz match?
- The match is scheduled for October 22, 2026, at 10:00 local time. It is a Kazakhstan 1st Division fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific odds are not available at the moment. However, based on the statistics, Taraz are the expected winners, and they would likely be priced as favorites by bookmakers.