The Cadca vs Tatran Presov prediction for this Slovakia Cup match on Oct 13, 2026, at 14:00 points to a clear away favourite. Tatran Presov, the 2. Liga side, holds a 50% win probability, while hosts Cadca from the 3. Liga are given just a 15% chance, with the draw at 35%.
Cadca go into the cup tie off a run of W-W-W-D-L across their last five matches. They beat Rimavska Sobota 3-2 at home (Oct 10), edged Dolny Kubin 2-1 away (Oct 3), demolished Kysucke Nove Mesto 6-0 (Sep 26), drew 1-1 at Namestovo (Sep 19), and fell 2-3 at home to Ruzomberok B (Sep 12). That form shows they can score but have defensive lapses.
Tatran Presovโs recent five results read D-W-D-L-W. They drew 2-2 at MSK Povazska Bystrica (Oct 10), won 3-2 at home against Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom (Oct 3), played a 2-2 draw at Slovan Bratislava B (Sep 27), lost 0-1 at home to STK 1914 Samorin (Sep 19), and beat Malzenice 1-0 away (Sep 13). The team from the higher division (2. Liga) has shown resilience on the road with two draws and a win in their last three away trips.
There are no previous meetings between Cadca and Tatran Presov in the available data. This Slovakia Cup tie is a first-time encounter, so H2H form provides no direct comparison.
Based on the bookmaker odds and all recent performance indicators, the win chances are: Cadca 15%, draw 35%, Tatran Presov 50%. We derived the core probabilities from the inverse of the best available odds (Cadca 5.25, draw 2.62, Tatran 1.91), removed the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for the difference in league level (2. Liga vs 3. Liga) and the away team's solid travelling form. Home advantage gives Cadca a small push, but the quality gap keeps their win chance low. The most likely outcome is an away victory for Tatran Presov.
Bookmakers strongly favour Tatran Presov. One offering set the 1X2 market as Cadca at 5.25, the draw at 2.62, and Tatran Presov at 1.91. Other books have even shorter away odds โ as low as 1.42 in one case โ underlining the favouriteโs status. Based on the stats, the smart money is on Tatran Presov to win, with a draw being a real possibility given the home sideโs recent scoring form. Our final prediction: Tatran Presov to win.