Pompier - Tevragh-Zeine prediction 20 October 2026

Our Pompier vs Tevragh-Zeine prediction for this Division 1 clash on Oct 20 at 18:30 assesses the probabilities ahead of this Mauritania fixture. Based on the bookmaker odds and early-season league table, Pompier enters the match as the favorite with a 40% chance of winning, with the draw at 35% and Tevragh-Zeine at 25%.

Team Form

Pompier's recent form shows mixed results, with two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five outings (L, L, D, W, D). Their most recent match was a 2-1 away defeat against Nouadhibou in the Cup on Jun 13. Before that, they lost 1-0 away to Chemal and drew 0-0 at home with Nouakchott Academie in Division 1. They will look to their 1-0 away win against ASC Snim on May 11 as a blueprint for success.

Tevragh-Zeine also comes into this game after a patchy run: D, L, W, L, D in their last five. They played out a 0-0 home draw against N Zidane FC on Oct 10. That followed a 1-0 away Cup loss to Chemal and a 3-1 away win over Ksar in the league. A 2-0 home loss to ASC Snim highlights their inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, these two teams are evenly matched across four recorded meetings. Pompier has 1 win, while Tevragh-Zeine also has 1 win, with 2 draws. Their most recent encounter on May 5 was a 1-1 draw when Tevragh-Zeine played at home. Pompier's last home victory over Tevragh-Zeine was a 1-0 result on Dec 18, 2025. Tevragh-Zeine's single H2H win came on Nov 5, 2023, a 2-0 away victory.

League Table Positions

It is still early days in the Division 1 season. Pompier sits 2nd in the overall standings with 3 points from their single match, scoring 3 goals and conceding 0. They are top of the away table with that impressive 3-0 victory. Tevragh-Zeine is in 11th place overall with 1 point from a 0-0 draw in their only game so far. At home, they are 5th with that same single draw.

Win Probability: Pompier or Tevragh-Zeine?

We calculate the win probability by taking the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalizing to remove the margin, and adjusting for recent form and standings. Bookmakers price Pompier at 2.75 to win, implying a 36.4% chance; the draw at 2.00 (50.0%); and a Tevragh-Zeine win at 3.40 (29.4%). After removing the implied margin and factoring in Pompier's stronger league start and home/away dynamic in the H2H, we arrive at a final probability: Pompier has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Tevragh-Zeine has a 25% chance. Based on this analysis, Pompier is the more likely winner, but the draw is a significant threat.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current 1X2 odds see Pompier at 2.75, the draw at 2.00, and an away win for Tevragh-Zeine priced at 3.40. The odds strongly suggest a very tight encounter, with the draw being the shortest-priced outcome. Our prediction, based on the stats, sees Pompier as the marginal favorite, but with a low-scoring history in this fixture—the last three meetings all had under 1.5 goals—a full-time draw could be the most realistic match outcome bettors should consider.