| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 72:12 | +60 | 46 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 49:12 | +37 | 40 | |
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:22 | +5 | 32 | |
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28:24 | +4 | 30 | |
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | |
| 6 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | +7 | 24 | |
| 7 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 29:45 | -16 | 20 | |
| 8 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 27:48 | -21 | 16 | |
| 9 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14:53 | -39 | 8 | |
| 10 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15:61 | -46 | 7 |
The Thimphu City FC vs Paro FC prediction for the Thimphu League match on October 8, 2026, at 13:00 points to Paro FC as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Thimphu City FC, playing at home, has a 25% chance, while the draw stands at 30%.
Thimphu City FC's last five matches: three wins and two draws. They beat Transport United 3-0, Ugyen Academy 6-0, and RTC Royal Thimphu College 2-1, then drew 2-2 with Drukpa FC and 1-1 with Tsirang.
Paro FC is in perfect form with five consecutive wins. They defeated Transport United 4-2, Ugyen Academy 10-0, Tsirang 7-0, RTC Royal Thimphu College 1-0, and Abu Muslim Farah FC 2-0 in the AFC Challenge League. Paro scored 24 goals and conceded just 2 in these five matches.
In 17 previous meetings, Thimphu City FC won 5, Paro FC won 4, and 8 ended in draws. The last five encounters: a 0-0 draw on May 14, 2026; a 3-3 draw on Oct 20, 2025; a 2-1 Paro win on Jul 6, 2025; a 2-2 draw on Oct 20, 2024; and a 1-1 draw on Nov 28, 2023. Four of the last five matches were draws, indicating tight contests.
Paro FC leads the Thimphu League with 46 points from 17 matches (15 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Thimphu City FC is second with 40 points (12 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Paro has a +60 goal difference (72 scored, 12 conceded), while Thimphu City has +37 (49 scored, 12 conceded). Paro's away record is perfect: 8 wins in 8 games, 36 goals for and 6 against. Thimphu City's home record: 6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 24 goals for, 6 against.
Based on odds, form, head-to-head, and league standings, we calculate the win probabilities: Thimphu City FC has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Paro FC has a 45% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a 45% probability for a Paro win, and we adjust slightly upward for the draw given the history of stalemates between these sides. Paro's dominant form and perfect away record make them the clear favorite.
The best available odds are: Thimphu City FC win at 2.88, draw at 3.80, and Paro FC win at 2.00. Bookmakers see Paro FC as the favorite. Our prediction: Paro FC is more likely to win, but a draw is a strong possibility. For betting tips, the stats suggest Paro to win or draw double chance, and over 2.5 goals could be considered given Paro's high-scoring away matches.