Throttur Reykjavik - Njardvik prediction 13 September 2026

The Throttur Reykjavik vs Njardvik prediction for the Iceland 1st Division match on Sep 09 at 17:00 gives Njardvik a 40% win probability, the draw a 35% chance, and Throttur Reykjavik a 25% chance. Our analysis combines odds, form, head-to-head, and home advantage to answer the question: who will win?

Team Form

Njardvik's recent home form (last five): W, L, W, L, W. They beat Afturelding 2-1, lost to Leiknir Reykjavik 0-2, crushed Volsungur 4-0, fell to IR Reykjavik 1-3, and won 4-1 at Grotta. That's three wins and two losses, showing inconsistency but an ability to score heavily.

Throttur Reykjavik's away form: W, W, L, W, L. They won 2-0 at IF Vestri, beat Aegir 7-2, lost 0-3 at HK Kopavogur, defeated Fylkir 3-1, and lost 1-2 at UMF Grindavik. Three wins in five, but both losses came against mid-table teams, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H across 16 matches: Njardvik has 6 home wins, Throttur Reykjavik has 8 away wins, and 2 draws. The last five encounters:

• Jul 03, 2026: Njardvik 1-0 Throttur Reykjavik
• Apr 25, 2026: Throttur Reykjavik 2-0 Njardvik
• Aug 17, 2025: Njardvik 2-3 Throttur Reykjavik
• Jun 09, 2025: Throttur Reykjavik 2-2 Njardvik
• Aug 02, 2023: Throttur Reykjavik 3-5 Njardvik

In these five, both teams have two wins each and one draw. Goals have flowed, with an average of over 3 per game, suggesting betting tips on over 2.5 goals could be worth considering.

League Table Positions

In the 1st Division overall, Throttur Reykjavik sits 2nd with 43 points (13W, 4D, 5L; GF50:GA25), while Njardvik is 5th with 38 points (12W, 2D, 8L; GF38:GA29). However, at home, Njardvik is formidable: 2nd in the home table with 9 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss (GF27:GA11). Throttur's away form is also strong: 2nd in the away table with 5 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses (GF22:GA15). The home/away split gives Njardvik a clear edge in this matchup.

Win Probability: Throttur Reykjavik or Njardvik?

We calculate win probabilities based on the odds, form, H2H, and home advantage. The base from bookmakers' odds (3.00 home, 2.40 draw, 2.50 away) implies: Njardvik win ~29%, draw ~36%, Throttur win ~35%. Adjusting for Njardvik's outstanding home record (82% win rate) and Throttur's decent away form (45% win rate), we shift the probabilities. Njardvik has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Throttur Reykjavik has a 25% chance. The home advantage and recent H2H edge for the home side tip the scales in favor of the hosts.

Odds & Match Prediction

Selected bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Njardvik home win at 3.00, draw at 2.40, and Throttur Reykjavik away win at 2.50. The market sees the match as tight, with a slight leaning toward the away side. However, our analysis suggests Njardvik is the more likely winner at home. The prediction: Njardvik to win or draw. A 1-1 scoreline is a possible outcome, but a narrow home victory cannot be ruled out based on the stats.