Throttur Reykjavik Women - Grindavik Women prediction 23 October 2026

This Throttur Reykjavik Women vs Grindavik Women prediction focuses on the Premier League Women match on Oct 23, 2026 at 19:00. Throttur Reykjavik Women come into the game as the clear favourites with a 55% win probability, while Grindavik Women hold a 20% chance of causing an upset, based on league position, recent form and head-to-head history.

Team Form

Throttur Reykjavik Women have shown an inconsistent pattern in their last five outings, posting a W-L-W-L-W sequence. They produced a convincing 4-0 away win at FH Hafnarfjodur Women on Oct 18, followed by a narrow 5-4 loss to Breidablik Women on Oct 4. The home side’s scoring power is evident – they netted 5 goals against Stjarnan Women on Sep 27 and 2 goals in a cup win at Grindavik Women on Sep 12. Despite defensive lapses, they are capable of outgunning opponents.

Grindavik Women’s recent form reads W-D-W-L-L, indicating a slight upturn after two straight defeats. They beat IBV Vestmannaeyja Women 2-1 at home on Oct 16 and held Stjarnan Women to a 0-0 away draw on Oct 2. Prior to that, they suffered a heavy 4-1 loss at Breidablik Women and a 2-1 home cup defeat to Throttur Reykjavik Women. The away side will need to tighten up at the back to compete with a free-scoring Throttur attack.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head record, Throttur Reykjavik Women have won 5 times compared to 2 wins for Grindavik Women, with no draws. Recent encounters have been much closer. In the last five meetings, Throttur have won three and Grindavik two. Notably, Grindavik Women won 2-1 at Throttur’s ground in the league on May 11, 2026, while Throttur exacted revenge with a 2-1 cup win on Sep 12, 2026. The last match at this venue in the Premier League Women ended 1-2 in favour of the visitors, so Grindavik know they can get a result here.

League Table Positions

Throttur Reykjavik Women sit 3rd in the Premier League Women standings with 33 points from 17 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). They have scored 30 goals and conceded 20, giving them a solid goal difference. At home, they have been even stronger: 5 wins, 2 draws and only 1 defeat from 8 games, with 16 goals for and 9 against. Grindavik Women are not listed in the top 10 of the league table, indicating they are positioned in the lower half. The significant gap in league standing plays a key role in the win probability calculation.

Win Probability: Throttur Reykjavik Women or Grindavik Women?

Based on the available data, the win probabilities for this fixture are as follows: Throttur Reykjavik Women have a 55% chance of winning, the draw sits at 25%, and Grindavik Women have a 20% chance. These figures are derived from Throttur’s strong home record (62.5% win rate at home this season), their 3rd-place league position against a lower-ranked Grindavik side, and recent form trends. Although Grindavik Women have won once at this ground in 2026, their lower league standing and inconsistent away performances reduce their probability. The head-to-head history – which shows both teams can win – keeps the draw and away win probabilities above zero, but overall Throttur hold the edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are currently listed for this Premier League Women encounter. Bookmakers would likely install Throttur Reykjavik Women as favourites, reflecting the 55% win probability derived from the stats. The prediction points to a home win, though the head-to-head record suggests Grindavik Women are capable of making it competitive. A low-scoring affair or a narrow home victory are the most probable outcomes given both sides’ recent goal tallies.