J-Lease - Tiamo Hirakata prediction 4 October 2026
J-Lease
Tiamo HirakataJ-LeaseVeertien MIEMinebea Mitsumi/Honda LockJ-LeaseOkinawa SVJ-LeaseJ-LeaseTiamo HirakataBriobecca UrayasuJ-LeaseJ-LeaseVerspah OitaJ-LeaseYokogawa Musashino FCJ-LeaseHonda FCJ-LeaseGrulla MoriokaMaruyasu OkazakiJ-LeaseHonda FCJ-LeaseTiamo HirakataJ-LeaseJ-LeaseVerspah OitaVeertien MIEJ-LeaseTokyo UnitedJ-LeaseAzul Claro Numazu FCTiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataGrulla MoriokaTiamo HirakataYokogawa Musashino FCJ-LeaseTiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataVonds IchiharaOkinawa SVTiamo HirakataVeertien MIETiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataMaruyasu OkazakiYSCC YokohamaTiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataMinebea Mitsumi/Honda LockHonda FCTiamo HirakataVeertien MIETiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataJ-LeaseMaruyasu OkazakiTiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataOkinawa SVJ-LeaseTiamo HirakataTiamo HirakataJ-Lease| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Honda FC | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 49:25 | +24 | 60 |
| 2 |  Reilac Shiga FC | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 47:34 | +13 | 56 |
| 3 |  ReinMeer Aomori FC | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39:28 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |  Briobecca Urayasu | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32:23 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 | Tiamo Hirakata | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53:41 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |  Verspah Oita | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:32 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |  Okinawa SV | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 39:35 | +4 | 43 |
| 8 |  Veertien MIE | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 32:25 | +7 | 42 |
| 9 |  Grulla Morioka | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:47 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 |  Minebea Mitsumi/Honda Lock | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:38 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 |  Criacao Shinjuku | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 |  Maruyasu Okazaki | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 13 |  YSCC Yokohama | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 33:53 | -20 | 30 |
| 14 |  Atletico Suzuka | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 |  Yokogawa Musashino FC | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 16:37 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 |  Asuka FC | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 20:33 | -13 | 21 |
J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata Prediction (Oct 4)
Welcome to our J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata prediction for the J4 League clash on October 4, 2026. The match kicks off at 05:00, and based on our analysis, Tiamo Hirakata enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while J-Lease has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
J-Lease Recent Form
J-Lease's last five matches: W, L, D, L, L. They secured an away win against Briobecca Urayasu (2-0) on September 26 but have struggled at home, losing to Verspah Oita (1-2) on September 19, drawing 0-0 with Yokogawa Musashino FC on September 13, and losing to Honda FC (1-2) on August 29 and Grulla Morioka (1-2) in the League Cup on June 7. Their home form is a clear concern, with three defeats and one draw in the last four home outings.
Tiamo Hirakata Recent Form
Tiamo Hirakata's last five: D, L, W, L, L. They drew 1-1 at home with Vonds Ichihara on September 26, lost 2-1 away to Okinawa SV on September 21, won 3-2 away at Veertien MIE on September 12, then lost 3-1 at home to Maruyasu Okazaki on September 5 and 1-0 away to YSCC Yokohama on August 30. Their away form is inconsistent, with one win and two losses in the last three road games, though the 3-2 victory showed attacking potential.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once in recent history. On April 5, 2026, in the League Cup, Tiamo Hirakata hosted J-Lease and lost 1-2. That away victory gives J-Lease a slight psychological edge, but the sample size is minimal and may not reflect current form.
League Table Positions
Tiamo Hirakata sits 5th in the J4 League with 47 points from 29 matches (14 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses). They have scored 53 goals and conceded 41. J-Lease is outside the top 12, indicating a significantly lower position. In away matches, Tiamo Hirakata ranks 8th with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses from 15 games, earning 19 points. J-Lease's home record is not among the top eight, suggesting they have struggled at home this season. The table gap clearly favors the visitors.
Win Probability: J-Lease or Tiamo Hirakata?
After assessing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Tiamo Hirakata 45%, Draw 30%, J-Lease 25%. Tiamo Hirakata's superior league standing, better goal difference, and J-Lease's poor home form make the away side the likely winner. However, J-Lease's head-to-head win and the fact that many of their home losses were by a single goal keep the contest open. The draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' recent inconsistency and Tiamo Hirakata's mixed away results.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Based on the statistical analysis, our J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata prediction is a win for the away side. However, the match could be tight, and a draw is a strong possibility. We recommend a cautious approach: Tiamo Hirakata to win or draw.
J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata โ FAQ
- Who will win J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata?
- Based on our analysis, Tiamo Hirakata has a 45% chance of winning, while J-Lease has a 25% chance, and the draw is at 30%. Tiamo Hirakata's higher league position and better overall form give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Tiamo Hirakata?
- Tiamo Hirakata has a 45% win probability. This is based on their 5th-place standing, superior goal difference, and J-Lease's poor home record, though the head-to-head loss adds some uncertainty.
- When is the J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata match?
- The match is on October 4, 2026, at 05:00 (local time). It is a J4 League fixture, Japan's fourth-tier football competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Currently, no odds are available from bookmakers for this J-Lease vs Tiamo Hirakata match. Once released, they will likely reflect Tiamo Hirakata as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between J-Lease and Tiamo Hirakata?
- The teams have met once, on April 5, 2026, in the League Cup. J-Lease won that match 2-1 away at Tiamo Hirakata.