Tikves - FC Struga Trim Lum prediction 11 September 2026

Tikves vs FC Struga Trim Lum prediction for the North Macedonia 1st League match on Sep 11, 2026. Based on our analysis, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 40% probability, while both Tikves and FC Struga Trim Lum have a 30% chance to win.

Team Form

Tikves

Tikves come into this match with mixed form: W, D, D, L, W in their last five league games. They secured a 3-1 away win at KF Shkendija 79 Tetovo, drew 1-1 at home with Vardar Skopje, drew 1-1 away at Skopje, lost 0-1 at home to KF Shkendija Haracine, and thrashed KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo 5-0 away. Overall, they have scored 10 goals and conceded 4 in these five matches, showing decent attacking potential but some defensive lapses at home.

FC Struga Trim Lum

FC Struga Trim Lum have been more consistent with a form string of W, W, L, W, D. They beat Sileks Kratovo 1-0 and Bregalnica Stip 4-0 at home, lost 1-2 away to KF Shkendija 79 Tetovo, beat Vardar Skopje 1-0 at home, and drew 1-1 away at Skopje. Their home form is perfect (4 wins from 4), but away they have managed only 1 point from 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3.

Head-to-Head Record

In 14 meetings, FC Struga Trim Lum have won 8 times, Tikves 2, with 4 draws. The last five matches:

• Apr 13, 2026: FC Struga Trim Lum 1-2 Tikves
• Dec 5, 2025: Tikves 0-1 FC Struga Trim Lum
• Sep 14, 2025: FC Struga Trim Lum 3-0 Tikves
• May 17, 2025: Tikves 3-3 FC Struga Trim Lum
• Oct 30, 2024: Tikves 0-1 FC Struga Trim Lum

Struga have won three of the last five, keeping three clean sheets. Tikves' only recent win came in the most recent clash, which might give them some confidence.

League Table Positions

FC Struga Trim Lum sit 2nd in the North Macedonia 1st League with 13 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goals 11:3). Tikves are right behind in 3rd with 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, goals 15:5). At home, Tikves are 6th with 4 points from 3 games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). FC Struga Trim Lum's away record is also 6th, with just 1 point from 2 games (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Both teams have been stronger in the opposite venue, which adds to the unpredictability.

Win Probability: Tikves or FC Struga Trim Lum?

We calculated the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home/away performance. The odds implied a draw probability of 43%, a Tikves win at 26%, and an away win at 31% after removing the margin. Adjusting for Tikves' home advantage (though their home form is mediocre) and Struga's poor away form, we arrive at: Tikves win 30%, draw 40%, FC Struga Trim Lum win 30%. The draw is the most likely outcome, and neither team can be considered a clear favorite. The match is expected to be tight, possibly low-scoring.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Tikves 3.50, draw 2.10, FC Struga Trim Lum 2.88. These odds reflect the draw as the favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction is a draw. However, FC Struga Trim Lum's head-to-head edge could tilt the balance, so a narrow away win is also a realistic scenario. A 1-1 or 0-0 scoreline seems plausible.