| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | +14 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 17 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | +8 | 16 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 14 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 | |
| 8 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:21 | -13 | 10 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:29 | -20 | 7 | |
| 10 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
The FK Arsimi 1973 vs Tikves prediction for the North Macedonia 1st League clash on October 19, 2026, at 13:00 leans towards an away win. Bookmakers' best odds and recent head-to-head dominance make Tikves the favorite, with our win probability model giving them a 52% chance of victory.
FK Arsimi 1973's recent form shows inconsistency. In their last five matches, they have recorded two draws, one win, and two losses (D, W, L, D, L). Their most recent outing was a 1-1 home draw against Sileks Kratovo on Oct 10. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding 20 goals in 9 league games this season.
Tikves arrives in solid shape, unbeaten in their last four competitive games across the last five matches (W, D, D, D, W). Their latest fixture was an impressive 3-0 home win against Bregalnica Stip on Oct 10. With a strong goal difference of +13 (20 scored, 7 conceded) in the league, they appear the more stable side.
The recent history between Tikves and FK Arsimi 1973 heavily favors the away side. In the last five encounters across all competitions, Tikves has won three, FK Arsimi 1973 has won one, and there has been one draw. The results highlight a trend of high-scoring matches when Tikves is involved, including a 5-1 and a 5-0 victory in 2026. FK Arsimi 1973's sole win was a 4-3 away victory in October 2025.
The standings amplify the gap between the two sides. Tikves sits 4th in the overall table with 16 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). FK Arsimi 1973 is 8th with 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses). The away form for Tikves is particularly strongโthey are unbeaten on the road this season with 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 2. FK Arsimi 1973's away form has been poor, but this match is at home where they have a single win and three draws from four games.
Based on the match odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we have calculated the following win probabilities:
The calculation is anchored by the best available bookmaker odds. We normalized the inverse of the best odds (home 4.57, draw 3.94, away 1.72) to remove the margin, then adjusted slightly upwards for the favorite to reflect Tikves's dominant H2H record and superior league position. FK Arsimi 1973's home resilienceโthey are undefeated at home this seasonโprevents their probability from being lower, but the quality gap remains significant. Consequently, Tikves is the more likely winner.
The pre-match odds clearly identify a favorite. The best available odds from bookmakers are 4.57 for an FK Arsimi 1973 home win, 3.94 for the draw, and 1.72 for a Tikves away win. The market consensus aligns with the data trends. Based on the stats and form, Tikves is the justified favorite. Our prediction is an away win for Tikves, with a low probability of FK Arsimi 1973 causing an upset given the visitors' defensive solidity and historical dominance in this fixture.