Tobol Kostanay - FK Zhenys prediction 17 October 2026
Tobol Kostanay
FK Zhenys
Zhetysu TaldykorganTobol KostanayTobol KostanayFK ZhenysTobol KostanayAstanaTobol KostanayYelimay SemeyKairat AlmatyTobol KostanayTobol KostanayUlytauKaspiy AktauTobol KostanayTobol KostanayKaisar KyzylordaIrtysh PavlodarTobol KostanayTobol KostanayPartizan BelgradeTobol KostanayKaisar KyzylordaPartizan BelgradeTobol KostanayOrdabasyTobol KostanayTobol KostanayBaltija PanevezysTobol KostanayAtyrauOrdabasyFK ZhenysTobol KostanayFK ZhenysFK ZhenysAtyrauOkzhetpes KokshetauFK ZhenysFK ZhenysKyzylzharKairat AlmatyFK ZhenysAktobeFK ZhenysFK ZhenysFC Altai OskemenFK ZhenysKaisar KyzylordaFK ZhenysZhetysu TaldykorganKairat AlmatyFK ZhenysFK ZhenysYelimay SemeyKaisar KyzylordaFK ZhenysKaspiy AktauFK ZhenysFK ZhenysUlytauTobol KostanayFK ZhenysFK ZhenysTobol KostanayFK ZhenysTobol KostanayTobol KostanayFK ZhenysTobol KostanayFK ZhenysFK ZhenysTobol Kostanay| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ordabasy | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 59:21 | +38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Kairat Almaty | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 57:20 | +37 | 63 |
| 3 |  Astana | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 46:29 | +17 | 52 |
| 4 |  Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 45:37 | +8 | 51 |
| 5 |  Aktobe | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |  Yelimay Semey | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40:39 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |  Ulytau | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | FK Zhenys | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 |  Kaspiy Aktau | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 |
| 11 |  Kyzylzhar | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 |  Atyrau | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 |  Altay Izmir | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:39 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 |  Kaisar Kyzylorda | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 24 |
Tobol Kostanay vs FK Zhenys Prediction (Oct 17)
The Tobol Kostanay vs FK Zhenys prediction for this Kazakhstan Premier League match on Oct 17 at 13:00 points towards a home advantage. Based on our analysis, Tobol Kostanay has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and FK Zhenys has a 22% chance.
Team Form
Tobol Kostanay's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches (W, L, W, W, L). At home, they have been strong, winning 9 of their 13 home games this season. Their last match was a 2-1 home win against Astana on Oct 10. FK Zhenys, on the other hand, have struggled, with four losses in their last five (L, L, W, L, L). Their most recent result was a 1-2 home defeat to Atyrau on Oct 10.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, Tobol Kostanay have 1 win, FK Zhenys have 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent encounter was on May 3, 2026, when FK Zhenys won 1-0 at home. Before that, they drew 1-1 in the Cup on Aug 29, 2025, and 2-2 in the league on Jun 29, 2025.
League Table Positions
Tobol Kostanay sit 7th in the Premier League overall standings with 37 points from 27 games (11 wins, 4 draws, 12 losses). FK Zhenys are 9th with 32 points (8 wins, 8 draws, 11 losses). The home table highlights a major gap: Tobol Kostanay are 5th with 29 points from 13 home matches, while FK Zhenys are 8th in the away table with only 23 points from 14 away games.
Win Probability: Tobol Kostanay or FK Zhenys?
We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. The bookmaker odds (home 2.48, draw 2.15, away 3.65) imply probabilities of approximately 40%, 47%, and 27% before removing the margin. After normalizing and adjusting for Tobol Kostanay's strong home record (9 wins in 13) and FK Zhenys' poor away form, we arrive at: Tobol Kostanay win: 48%, Draw: 30%, FK Zhenys win: 22%. Tobol Kostanay is the more likely winner, but the draw holds significant value.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available 1X2 odds are: Tobol Kostanay win at 2.48, draw at 2.15, and FK Zhenys win at 3.65. Bookmakers see the draw as the most probable single outcome, but our analysis suggests Tobol Kostanay's home advantage gives them the edge. Based on the stats, a home win or a draw are the most realistic match outcomes.
Tobol Kostanay vs FK Zhenys โ FAQ
- Who will win Tobol Kostanay vs FK Zhenys?
- Based on our analysis, Tobol Kostanay has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and FK Zhenys has a 22% chance. Tobol Kostanay's strong home form makes them the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Tobol Kostanay?
- Tobol Kostanay has a 48% win probability. This is based on their excellent home record of 9 wins in 13 matches and FK Zhenys' poor away form.
- When is the Tobol Kostanay vs FK Zhenys match?
- The match is on Oct 17 at 13:00 local time. It is a Kazakhstan Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds are: Tobol Kostanay win at 2.48, a draw at 2.15, and FK Zhenys win at 3.65. The draw is the shortest-priced outcome with the bookmakers.