Club Necaxa Women - Toluca Women prediction 29 September 2026
Club Necaxa Women
Toluca Women
Pachuca WomenClub Necaxa WomenChivas Guadalajara WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub Necaxa WomenCruz Azul WomenClub Necaxa WomenToluca WomenMonterrey WomenClub Necaxa WomenJuarez WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub Necaxa WomenAtletico San Luis WomenPuebla WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub America WomenTijuana WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub Necaxa WomenUnam Pumas WomenAtlante FC WomenClub Necaxa WomenPuebla WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub Necaxa WomenTijuana WomenClub Necaxa WomenJuarez WomenCruz Azul WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenSantos Laguna WomenPachuca WomenToluca WomenClub Necaxa WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenTigres UANL WomenToluca WomenTijuana WomenMonterrey WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenClub Leon WomenAtlante FC WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenAtlas WomenToluca WomenJuarez WomenAtletico San Luis WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenClub America WomenClub America WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenClub America Women- 7'EventE. Le Sommer
- 36'EventB. Johnson
- 46'EventJ. Perez
Club Necaxa WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenClub Necaxa WomenClub Necaxa WomenToluca WomenToluca WomenClub Necaxa Women| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America Women | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54:12 | +42 | 31 |
| 2 |  Monterrey Women | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42:15 | +27 | 31 |
| 3 |  Tigres UANL Women | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36:12 | +24 | 29 |
| 4 |  Juarez Women | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18:9 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca Women | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27:17 | +10 | 26 |
| 6 |  Chivas Guadalajara Women | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28:11 | +17 | 24 |
| 7 |  Atlรฉtico San Luis W | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Unam Pumas Women | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Club Leon Women | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna Women | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 |  Cruz Azul Women | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 |  Pachuca Women | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20:17 | +3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atlas Women | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 |  Tijuana Women | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 |  Atlante FC Women | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:15 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Queretaro Women | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 6 |
| 17 |  Puebla Women | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14:40 | -26 | 4 |
| 18 | Club Necaxa Women | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3:50 | -47 | 0 |
Club Necaxa Women vs Toluca Women Prediction (Sep 29)
The Club Necaxa Women vs Toluca Women prediction for this Liga MX Women match on Sep 29 at 02:06 heavily favors the visitors. Based on our analysis, Toluca Women has a 78% chance of winning, while Club Necaxa Women has just a 9% chance, with the draw at 13%. The match will be played at Estadio Victoria in Aguascalientes.
Team Form
Club Necaxa Women are in disastrous form, losing their last five matches in a row. They suffered a 10-0 defeat away to Monterrey Women on Sep 19, a 1-0 loss at Juarez Women on Sep 13, a 0-2 home loss to Atletico San Luis Women on Sep 6, a 4-1 defeat at Puebla Women on Aug 30, and a 0-7 home thrashing by Club America Women on Aug 24. They have conceded 24 goals in these five games while scoring only once.
Toluca Women's recent form is mixed but far superior. They lost 2-7 at home to Tigres UANL Women on Sep 22, but before that they beat Tijuana Women 6-0 at home on Sep 15, lost 1-5 at Monterrey Women on Sep 6, beat Club Leon Women 1-0 at home on Aug 29, and won 2-1 at Atlante FC Women on Aug 24. They have won three of their last five matches.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. In their last three meetings, Toluca Women have won all three. The most recent was a 5-1 home win for Toluca Women on Mar 21, 2026. Before that, Toluca Women won 2-0 away at Club Necaxa Women on Oct 18, 2025, and 3-0 at home on Feb 28, 2025. The aggregate score across these three matches is 10-1 to Toluca Women.
League Table Positions
Toluca Women sit 6th in the overall Liga MX Women table with 16 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), scoring 19 goals and conceding 15. Club Necaxa Women are not listed in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating they are much lower in the table. In the away standings, Toluca Women are 7th with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Club Necaxa Women do not appear in the home standings top 8, confirming their struggles at Estadio Victoria.
Win Probability: Club Necaxa Women or Toluca Women?
Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Toluca Women has a 78% chance of winning, the draw has a 13% chance, and Club Necaxa Women has a 9% chance of winning. The odds heavily back Toluca Women (best price 1.24), and their superior league position, positive H2H record (3 wins from 3), and Club Necaxa Women's terrible form (5 straight losses, 24 goals conceded) make the away win the most likely outcome by a significant margin.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Toluca Women as the clear favorite. The best available odds for a Toluca Women win are 1.24, while a Club Necaxa Women home win is priced as high as 26.00. The draw is available at odds between 4.00 and 13.50. Based on the stats, a Toluca Women victory is the most probable result. Given Club Necaxa Women's defensive frailties and Toluca Women's attacking quality, a comfortable away win is expected.
Club Necaxa Women vs Toluca Women โ FAQ
- Who will win Club Necaxa Women vs Toluca Women?
- Toluca Women are the overwhelming favorites to win. Our calculated probabilities give Toluca Women a 78% chance of victory, while Club Necaxa Women have just a 9% chance, with the draw at 13%. This is based on Toluca Women's perfect head-to-head record (3 wins in 3 meetings) and Club Necaxa Women's five-match losing streak.
- What is the win probability for Toluca Women?
- Toluca Women have a 78% probability of winning this match. This high percentage reflects their dominant head-to-head record, much higher league table position (6th vs unranked in top 12), and Club Necaxa Women's terrible recent form with five consecutive defeats and 24 goals conceded.
- When is the Club Necaxa Women vs Toluca Women match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, with a kick-off time of 02:06 local time. It is a Liga MX Women fixture and will be played at Estadio Victoria in Aguascalientes, Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds for a Toluca Women away win are 1.24. A draw is priced between 4.00 and 13.50, while a Club Necaxa Women home win is available at odds as high as 26.00, reflecting their underdog status.