| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54:12 | +42 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42:15 | +27 | 31 | |
| 3 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 36:12 | +24 | 29 | |
| 4 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18:9 | +9 | 27 | |
| 5 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27:17 | +10 | 26 | |
| 6 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28:11 | +17 | 24 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20:17 | +3 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:15 | -9 | 7 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14:40 | -26 | 4 | |
| 18 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3:50 | -47 | 0 |
Toluca Women vs Tigres UANL Women prediction for Sep 22, 2026, covers the Liga MX Women match at 01:00. Tigres UANL Women are slight favorites with a 35% win probability, while Toluca Women sit at 31% and the draw at 34%. The match is a top-four clash, with Tigres UANL Women 3rd and Toluca Women 4th in the table.
Toluca Women come into this match with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five outings. They beat Tijuana Women 6-0 on Sep 15, lost 5-1 away to Monterrey Women on Sep 6, beat Club Leon Women 1-0 on Aug 29, won 2-1 at Atlante FC Women on Aug 24, and drew 1-1 with Atlas Women on Aug 18.
Tigres UANL Women have four wins and one loss from their last five matches. Their run includes a 3-0 home win over Santos Laguna Women on Sep 7, a 2-0 home win over Pachuca Women on Aug 30, a 3-0 away win at Cruz Azul Women on Aug 23, and a 1-0 home win over Juarez Women on Aug 16. The only recent defeat was a 5-2 loss at Club America Women on Sep 14.
Over the last five meetings, the head-to-head record is balanced: Toluca Women have two wins, Tigres UANL Women have two wins, and one match ended as a draw.
Tigres UANL Women are 3rd in Liga MX Women with 18 points from 7 matches, having won 6, drawn 0 and lost 1, with 21 goals scored and 6 conceded. Toluca Women are 4th with 16 points from 7 matches, with 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, 17 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home, Toluca Women have 10 points from 4 matches, with 3 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 and conceding only 1. Tigres UANL Women have 6 points from 3 away matches, with 2 wins and 1 loss, 7 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Based on the available odds, form, head-to-head record and league positions, the win probabilities are: Toluca Women 31%, draw 34%, and Tigres UANL Women 35%. These figures use the inverse of the average bookmaker odds โ Toluca Women 2.90, draw 2.49, Tigres UANL Women 2.43 โ normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, with a small adjustment for Toluca Women's strong home record and Tigres UANL Women's stronger overall league position. The most likely single result is an away win for Tigres UANL Women, but the draw is also a very live outcome.
Bookmakers' 1X2 odds for this match range from 2.80 to 3.00 for a Toluca Women win, 2.38 to 2.55 for the draw, and 2.30 to 2.52 for a Tigres UANL Women win. The market sees Tigres UANL Women as a slight favorite. Based on the stats, the prediction is Tigres UANL Women to win, but because Toluca Women are so strong at home and the teams split the last five head-to-head meetings, the draw is a serious alternative.