Torino - Monza prediction 23 October 2026

Italy ยท Serie AFinished
Torino
3:2
FT
Monza
Match Info
CompetitionSerie A ยท Italy
Start date
Kick-off
VenueStadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity27,958
Surfacegrass
RefereeAndrea Zanotti
Recent Form
Torino
W
W
W
D
L
Monza
L
W
L
D
L
Recent matches ยท Torino
Serie A
Torino
Monza
32
W
Serie A
Parma
Torino
03
W
Serie A
Torino
Udinese
21
W
Serie A
Bologna
Torino
11
D
Serie A
Torino
AS Roma
02
L
Serie A
Fiorentina
Torino
12
W
Cup
Torino
Monza
01
L
Serie A
Sassuolo
Torino
21
L
Serie A
Torino
AC Milan
12
L
Cup
Torino
Carrarese
10
W
Friendly Clubs
US Avellino 1912
Torino
11
D
Friendly Clubs
Torino
Vado
31
W
Friendly Clubs
Burnley
Torino
01
W
Friendly Clubs
Torino
Cittadella
01
L
Friendly Clubs
Torino
Alcione
10
W
Recent matches ยท Monza
Serie A
Torino
Monza
32
L
Serie A
Monza
Cagliari
40
W
Serie A
Lazio
Monza
31
L
Friendly Clubs
Brest
Monza
22
D
Friendly Clubs
Monza
Cremonese
23
L
Serie A
Monza
Sassuolo
21
W
Serie A
Lecce
Monza
32
L
Serie A
Parma
Monza
11
D
Cup
Torino
Monza
01
W
Serie A
Monza
Udinese
23
L
Serie A
Inter Milan
Monza
41
L
Cup
Monza
US Avellino 1912
30
W
Friendly Clubs
Monza
Padova
33
D
Friendly Clubs
Monza
Aris Thessaloniki
13
L
Friendly Clubs
Galatasaray
Monza
02
W
Lineups
Torino3-4-2-1
  • 23Saรบl CocoD
  • 44A. IsmajliD
  • 19C. AdamsF
  • 45R. BelghaliD
  • 18G. SimeoneF
  • 8R. MandragoraM
  • 28K. Fitz-JimM
  • 15P. ComuzzoD
  • 77A. CacciamaniF
  • 20Lucas PerriG
  • 10N. Vlaลกiฤ‡M
Substitutes
  • 9P. Pellegri
  • 2N. Patterson
  • 11G. Oristanio
  • 7Z. Aboukhlal
  • 91D. Zapata
  • 22C. Casadei
  • 3C. Biraghi
  • 66G. Gineitis
  • 17S. Kulenoviฤ‡
  • 21Daniel Braganรงa
  • 26D. Mascardi
  • 5E. Cรถmert
  • 76L. Siviero
Monza3-4-2-1
  • 44A. CarboniD
  • 1N. TรถrnqvistG
  • 47Dany MotaF
  • 19S. BirindelliD
  • 2S. GoglichidzeD
  • 9Gustavo VarelaF
  • 3L. LucchesiD
  • 46Jay RobinsonF
  • 14E. AkinsanmiroM
  • 7Ricardo MangasD
  • 8M. OndoaM
Substitutes
  • 6V. Antov
  • 10P. Cutrone
  • 22E. Zeballos
  • 11O. Forson
  • 28A. Colpani
  • 20D. Thiam
  • 26P. Ciurria
  • 24A. Bakoune
  • 43A. Strajnar
  • 21L. Colombo
  • 60E. Kouadio
  • 27I. Tourรฉ
  • 90M. Folorunsho
  • 80M. Mout
  • 16C. Ngonge
Head-to-Head ยท summary
7
Torino
3
Draws
1
Monza
Previous meetings
Serie A
Torino
Monza
32
Cup
Torino
Monza
01
Serie A
Monza
Torino
02
Serie A
Torino
Monza
11
Serie A
Torino
Monza
10
Serie A
Monza
Torino
11
Serie A
Torino
Monza
11
Friendly Clubs
Monza
Torino
14
Serie A
Monza
Torino
12
Serie A
Monza
Torino
12
Friendly Clubs
Torino
Monza
10
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter871023:10+1322
2Lazio871016:5+1122
3AS Roma853019:6+1318
4AC Milan853016:7+918
5Como 1907852114:7+717
6Frosinone842217:13+414
7Juventus842211:8+314
8Torino841313:11+213
9Cagliari84136:9-313
10Napoli832313:10+311
11Atalanta831414:15-110
12Lecce83059:14-59
13Bologna82248:10-28
14Sassuolo822412:16-48
15Monza821515:18-37
16Genoa82156:13-77
17Udinese81169:18-94
18Fiorentina81169:19-104
19Parma81165:15-104
20Venezia81076:17-113
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Torino vs Monza Prediction (Oct 23)

The Torino vs Monza prediction for this Serie A fixture on Oct 23, 2026 at 19:45 leans towards the home side. Based on our probability model, which incorporates odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Torino has a 48% chance of winning, while Monza holds a 24% probability, with a 28% chance of a draw. Playing at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino gives the hosts a slight edge in this matchup.

Team Form

Torino enters this match with an inconsistent run of results. Their last five matches in all competitions show two wins, two losses, and one draw (W, L, D, W, L). Most recently, they secured a 2-1 home victory against Udinese on Oct 12. However, they suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Monza in the Cup on Sep 1, and a 2-0 loss to AS Roma at home on Sep 14.

Monza's recent form mirrors this instability. Their last five results are L, W, L, D, L. A 3-1 away loss to Lazio on Oct 11 and a narrow 3-2 defeat at Lecce on Sep 13 highlight their struggles on the road. A home win against Sassuolo (2-1 on Sep 18) is their only positive league result in this sequence. Both teams will be looking for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between Torino and Monza heavily favors the home side. In their last 10 matches, Torino has 6 wins, Monza has 1 win, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent encounter was a Cup match on Sep 1, 2026, where Monza won 1-0 away at Torino. Prior to that, Torino beat Monza 2-0 away in Serie A on Mar 2, 2025, and drew 1-1 at home on Nov 24, 2024.

League Table Positions

The provided league table shows the top 12 teams after 6-7 games, but neither Torino nor Monza appears in these standings. This indicates both clubs are in the lower half of the Serie A table. Based on available home and away standings, the missing teams are likely battling to climb the ranks, making this a crucial fixture for both sides.

Win Probability: Torino or Monza?

After calculating the inverse of the best available odds and normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, we adjusted the raw percentages based on home advantage, the strong head-to-head record for Torino, and the recent form. The probabilities are: Torino win 48%, Draw 28%, Monza win 24%. Torino is more likely to win, but the draw and an away upset are significant possibilities given Monza's recent Cup victory at this venue.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Torino as the favorite. The 1X2 odds show a best price of 2.18 for a Torino win, 3.55 for the draw, and 3.70 for a Monza win. This aligns with the data showing Torino's historical dominance at home. Based on the stats and market odds, a Torino win or a draw are the most likely outcomes. The recent head-to-head and fluctuating form of both teams suggests a cautious match prediction, with under 2.5 goals looking probable.

Torino vs Monza โ€” FAQ

Who will win Torino vs Monza?
Based on our adjusted probability model, Torino has a 48% chance of winning, making them the most likely victors. However, there is a 28% probability of a draw and a 24% chance for a Monza win, indicating a competitive match is expected.
What is the win probability for Torino?
The calculated win probability for Torino is 48%. This figure uses bookmaker odds as a base, then adjusts for their historical head-to-head record of 6 wins in 10 matches and the advantage of playing at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
When is the Torino vs Monza match?
The match is scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a Serie A fixture being played at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino in Torino, Italy.
What are the odds for the match?
The best available 1X2 odds are 2.18 for a Torino home win, 3.55 for the draw, and 3.70 for a Monza away win. These odds suggest the bookmakers have Torino as the favorite for this Serie A clash.
Torino โ€“ Monza ยท match page