Torino - Udinese prediction 12 October 2026

Our Torino vs Udinese prediction for the Serie A clash on October 12, 2026, points to a closely fought draw. According to our win probability analysis, the draw has a 38% chance, while Torino holds a 37% chance and Udinese just 25%.

Team Form

Torino's recent form has been poor, with just one win in their last five matches (D, L, W, L, L). Their only victory came away at Fiorentina (2-1) on September 5, but they have since suffered defeats to AS Roma (0-2 at home) and Sassuolo (1-2 away), along with a Coppa Italia exit to Monza (0-1). They did manage a 1-1 draw at Bologna in their most recent outing.

Udinese have also struggled, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (D, L, L, L, W). Their sole win was a 2-1 home cup victory over Venezia. In Serie A, they have lost to Cagliari (0-1), Inter Milan (3-5), and Lazio (1-2), with a 1-1 friendly draw at Pogon Szczecin. Both teams are clearly lacking consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record favors Torino, who have 14 wins to Udinese's 7, with 7 draws in 28 meetings. However, recent encounters have been evenly matched. In the last five clashes, each side has won twice, with one draw. The most recent meeting on May 2, 2026, saw Udinese win 2-0 at home. Torino's last home win against Udinese was a 2-0 result in April 2025.

League Table Positions

Neither Torino nor Udinese feature in the top 12 of the current Serie A standings, suggesting both are positioned in the lower half of the table. The available data shows Inter leading with 16 points, while the 12th-placed team has 6 points. This indicates a tough start to the season for both sides, with points at a premium in this fixture.

Win Probability: Torino or Udinese?

Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. The draw emerges as the most likely outcome at 38%, with Torino close behind at 37%, and Udinese at 25%. The bookmakers' average odds of 2.50 (home), 2.12 (draw), and 3.24 (away) imply probabilities of 34%, 40%, and 26% respectively after removing the margin. We have slightly adjusted these figures to account for Torino's home advantage and their historical edge in this fixture, though their current poor form tempers expectations. Udinese's away struggles further support a low probability for an away win. Therefore, the match is expected to be tight, with a draw being the most sensible prediction.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Serie A match show a clear preference for the draw. Across major bookmakers, the draw is priced as low as 2.00, with an average around 2.12. A Torino home win averages 2.50, while an Udinese away win is offered at around 3.24. Our Torino vs Udinese prediction is a draw, reflecting the low-scoring, evenly matched nature of this contest. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market may also appeal given both teams' offensive struggles.