Slavia Mozyr - Torpedo Zhodino prediction 25 October 2026

Our Torpedo Zhodino vs Slavia Mozyr prediction for the Vysshaya League match on Jun 14, 2026, shows Torpedo Zhodino as the favorite with a 50% win probability. The match kicks off at 17:00, and based on league positions, recent form, and head-to-head history, the home side has a clear edge. However, Slavia Mozyr’s resilience and the draw in this season’s earlier meeting keep the outcome far from certain.

Team Form

Torpedo Zhodino’s last five matches in the Vysshaya League read L, W, W, D, W. They suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Isloch on Jul 05, but before that they beat BATE Borisov 3-0 at home, won 2-0 away against Belshina Bobruisk, and thrashed Naftan Novopolotsk 4-0 on the road. The draw came against these very opponents, Slavia Mozyr, on Jun 14 – a 1-1 stalemate at home. That sequence underlines Torpedo’s attacking threat, with 10 goals scored in the four non-loss matches.

Slavia Mozyr’s form paints a less consistent picture: L, D, L, D, W across their last five outings. They lost 2-4 at home to Maxline Vitebsk on Jul 01, drew 1-1 away at Baranovichi, were beaten 0-2 at home by Isloch, and previously drew 1-1 away at Torpedo Zhodino. Their sole win in this run was a 2-1 home victory over Belshina Bobruisk on May 31. With only one win and two draws in five, Slavia arrive with confidence under pressure.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favours Torpedo Zhodino: 11 wins, 7 draws, and only 3 Slavia Mozyr victories in 21 meetings. The last five encounters have been more balanced:

• Jun 14, 2026: Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 Slavia Mozyr
• Oct 18, 2025: Torpedo Zhodino 3-2 Slavia Mozyr
• May 20, 2025: Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino
• Dec 1, 2024: Slavia Mozyr 0-2 Torpedo Zhodino
• Oct 24, 2024: Torpedo Zhodino 1-4 Slavia Mozyr

In that span, Torpedo have won twice, Slavia have won twice, and one match ended level. This suggests that despite Torpedo's historical dominance, Slavia can trouble them, especially when playing away from home.

League Table Positions

After 14 matches, Torpedo Zhodino sit 5th in the Vysshaya League with 23 points (6 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses, 23 goals scored, 12 conceded). Slavia Mozyr are 11th with 15 points (3 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses, 13 goals scored, 18 conceded). The 8-point gap and superior goal difference underline the hosts’ stronger campaign. Torpedo’s home record stands at 4th in the home table – 3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses from 9 games (12 points). Slavia’s away form is not among the top eight in the division, pointing to struggles on the road.

Win Probability: Torpedo Zhodino or Slavia Mozyr?

Calculating the win probability from all available data, we project Torpedo Zhodino with a 50% chance to win, a draw at 27%, and Slavia Mozyr at 23%. The calculation starts from the overall head-to-head winning percentage (Torpedo 52.4%, Slavia 14.3%, draw 33.3%), then adjusts for Torpedo’s moderate home record (only 3 wins in 9 home games) and Slavia’s poor recent away results. Torpedo’s recent scoring form (10 goals in four positive matches) gives them the edge, but Slavia’s ability to hold Torpedo to a draw in the last meeting and their occasional away upsets in H2H history keep a draw and an away win plausible. Based on form and table position, Torpedo Zhodino is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available in our data set. In such cases, our prediction relies solely on statistical analysis. Considering the form, standings, and head-to-head record, Torpedo Zhodino are the justified favourites. A home win remains the most probable outcome, but the 27% draw probability suggests bettors should not overlook the stalemate. Our match prediction: Torpedo Zhodino to win, but with caution given Slavia’s resilience in direct clashes.