Toulouse - Le Havre prediction 19 September 2026
Toulouse
Le HavreToulouse
TroyesLe MansToulouseMonacoToulouseToulouseLe HavreLorientToulouseToulouseLOSC LilleBrestToulouseToulouseLyonToulouseHamburger SVElcheToulouseAl Ain Abu DhabiToulouseToulouseReal SociedadToulouseRodez AveyronNantesToulouseToulouseLyonMarseilleLe HavreLe HavreAuxerreLOSC LilleLe HavreToulouseLe HavreLe HavreAngersLe HavreBrestLyonLe HavreLe HavreMonacoLe MansLe HavreReal OviedoLe HavreIpswich TownLe HavreLorientLe HavreLe HavreMarseilleLOSC LilleLe HavreLe HavreMetzToulouseLe HavreLe HavreToulouseToulouseLe HavreLe HavreToulouseLe HavreToulouseToulouseLe HavreToulouseLe HavreLe HavreToulouseLe HavreToulouseLe HavreToulouseToulouseLe Havre| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 |
| 2 |  LOSC Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 |
Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction (Sep 19, 2026)
The Toulouse vs Le Havre prediction for this Ligue 1 fixture on Sep 19, 2026, sees the hosts as the more likely winners. Kickโoff is at 18:45 at Stade Municipal (Toulouse), and after analysing the form, H2H and odds, Toulouse have a 48% chance of victory, while the draw sits at 28% and a Le Havre away win is rated at 24%.
Team Form
Toulouse come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results in all competitions read D, L, D, L, L. In Ligue 1, they have failed to win any of their last four (two draws, two defeats), most recently drawing 2โ2 away at Lorient on Sep 12, 2026. At home, they suffered backโtoโback losses against LOSC Lille (0โ1) and Lyon (0โ2).
Le Havreโs recent league form is almost identical: D, L, D, L in their last four outings. Their latest result was a 0โ0 home draw with Angers on Sep 12. Away from home in the league this season, they managed only a 1โ1 draw at Lyon in their only away fixture so far.
Head-to-Head Record
The last five meetings between these clubs slightly favour Le Havre, with three wins to Toulouseโs one, alongside one draw. The most recent encounter was on Feb 15, 2026, when Le Havre won 2โ1 at home. Overall, across all headโtoโhead matches recorded, Toulouse lead with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats.
League Table Positions
The standings data available for the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season does not list either Toulouse or Le Havre in the top 12. This suggests both sides are in the lower half of the table โ a reflection of their poor earlyโseason form.
Win Probability: Toulouse or Le Havre?
Based on the odds, team form, headโtoโhead record, and home advantage, we have calculated the following outcome probabilities:
- Toulouse win: 48%
- Draw: 28%
- Le Havre win: 24%
The initial betting odds implied a Toulouse victory probability of around 53%, but their recent home defeats and scoring struggles have tempered that figure. While Toulouse are still the more likely winner, the draw has significant value, and Le Havre should not be ruled out entirely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmaker odds for the fullโtime result show Toulouse as clear favourites. The best available oneโXโtwo odds from the data are home 1.85, draw 3.90, and away 4.60. These markets indicate a 1X2 expectation, with a lowโscoring match looking probable given both teamsโ lack of goals. Our prediction for Toulouse vs Le Havre is a tightlyโcontested game that could well end in a stalemate.
Toulouse vs Le Havre โ FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse vs Le Havre?
- According to our probability model, Toulouse have a 48% chance of winning, the draw is 28%, and Le Havre have a 24% chance. The hosts are the expected winners, but recent form suggests a close contest.
- What is the win probability for Toulouse?
- Toulouse have a 48% win probability. This reflects their home advantage but is adjusted downward from the ~53% implied by the odds because of their poor recent record at Stade Municipal.
- When is the Toulouse vs Le Havre match?
- The match is on Sep 19, 2026, with kickโoff at 18:45. It is a Ligue 1 fixture being played at Stade Municipal in Toulouse, France.
- What is the recent headโtoโhead record between Toulouse and Le Havre?
- In the last five headโtoโhead meetings, Le Havre have won three, Toulouse one, and one draw. The most recent clash on Feb 15, 2026, ended in a 2โ1 home win for Le Havre.
- What are the odds for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
- The 1X2 odds show Toulouse at 1.85, the draw at 3.90, and Le Havre at 4.60. These figures suggest the bookmakers see the home side as the favourite.