TP-47 - Vaajakoski prediction 4 October 2026

Our Vaajakoski vs TP-47 prediction for this Kakkonen clash on Sep 19, 2026, at 12:00, sees the hosts as slight favourites with a 38% win probability. The bookmakers’ odds and recent head‑to‑head records point towards a closely contested fixture where a draw cannot be ruled out.

Team Form

Vaajakoski

Vaajakoski’s last five matches have produced mixed results: W, D, L, W, L. They beat JS Hercules 2‑0 on Sep 06 and Vaasa VPS Akatemia 3‑2 on Aug 08, but fell 2‑1 away at SJK Akatemia 2 on Sep 12 and 4‑2 at TP‑47 on Aug 22. The 1‑1 home draw against GBK Kokkola on Aug 15 underlines their inconsistency.

TP-47

TP‑47’s recent form reads W, L, W, W, L across their last five outings. They suffered a 0‑1 home defeat to JS Hercules on Sep 11 and a heavy 4‑0 loss at JBK on Aug 16, but claimed victory in the other three: a 3‑1 win at SJK Akatemia 2, a 4‑2 home success over Vaajakoski, and a 2‑1 home win against Narpes Kraft. This gives them a slight form edge with three wins in five.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met four times in recent history, with Vaajakoski winning three and TP‑47 one – no draws.

• Aug 22, 2026: TP‑47 4‑2 Vaajakoski
• Jun 14, 2026: Vaajakoski 3‑2 TP‑47
• Oct 07, 2023: Vaajakoski 2‑0 TP‑47
• Jul 22, 2023: TP‑47 0‑1 Vaajakoski

Vaajakoski have won both home meetings (3‑2 and 2‑0), though TP‑47 claimed the most recent encounter.

Win Probability: Vaajakoski or TP-47?

We calculated the outcome chances using the available odds as a base and adjusted them for team form and the head‑to‑head record. The raw implied probabilities from the 1X2 market (home 2.30, draw 2.62, away 3.25) are Vaajakoski 38.7%, draw 34.0%, TP‑47 27.4% after removing the bookmaker margin. Considering Vaajakoski’s home advantage, their dominant H2H record (3 wins from 4) but TP‑47’s slightly better recent form and victory in the last meeting, we shift the numbers slightly:

Vaajakoski win – 38%
Draw – 33%
TP‑47 win – 29%

Vaajakoski remains the most likely winner, but the match is finely balanced and the draw is a strong possibility. TP‑47 cannot be dismissed, especially after their 4‑2 success in August.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers’ pre‑match 1X2 odds are: home (Vaajakoski) 2.30, draw 2.62, away (TP‑47) 3.25. These odds reflect Vaajakoski as the favourite, but with the draw priced shorter than the away win, the market expects a tight contest. Based on the stats, a Vaajakoski victory is the most probable single outcome, yet the value may lie in the draw market given both teams’ inconsistency.

A notable betting tip concerns goals: three of the four head‑to‑head matches (4‑2, 3‑2, 2‑0) saw over 2.5 total goals. This fixture often produces an open game, making the over 2.5 goals angle worth considering alongside the match result prediction.