TPS Turun Palloseura Women - PK Keski Uusimaa Women prediction 5 October 2026

TPS Turun Palloseura Women vs PK Keski Uusimaa Women prediction for the Ykkonen Women match on Oct 5, 2026 at 16:30 in Finland. Bookmakers see TPS Turun Palloseura Women as narrow favourites, and the win probability model gives the home side 38%, the draw 29%, and PK Keski Uusimaa Women 33%.

Team Form

TPS Turun Palloseura Women have produced a last-five sequence of W, W, D, D, L. Their latest match was a 3-2 away win at KTP Women on Aug 31, 2026. Before that they beat PK Keski Uusimaa Women 3-2 away on Aug 17, 2026, drew 2-2 at home with PK Keski Uusimaa Women on Jul 19, 2026, drew 1-1 away at Lahti Women on Jul 12, 2026, and lost 1-5 at home to JyPK Women on Jul 2, 2026.

PK Keski Uusimaa Women enter the game with a last-five record of W, W, W, L, L. They won 3-1 at home against HJK II Women on Sep 28, 2026, beat Lahti Women 7-0 at home on Sep 12, 2026, and won 5-1 away at HJK II Women on Aug 24, 2026. Their two recent defeats were a 2-3 home loss to TPS Turun Palloseura Women on Aug 17, 2026 and a 1-4 home loss to KTP Women on Aug 10, 2026.

Head-to-Head Record

The available head-to-head data covers five meetings. PK Keski Uusimaa Women have 3 wins, TPS Turun Palloseura Women have 1 win, and 2 matches ended level. The most recent H2H was Aug 17, 2026: PK Keski Uusimaa Women 2-3 TPS Turun Palloseura Women. The pair also drew 2-2 on Jul 19, 2026. PK Keski Uusimaa Women won 3-1 at home on May 9, 2026, won 3-2 at home on Jul 5, 2025, and claimed a 0-1 away win on Aug 14, 2021.

TPS Turun Palloseura Women vs PK Keski Uusimaa Women Prediction: Win Probability

Based on the 1X2 odds, recent team form and head-to-head record, TPS Turun Palloseura Women have a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and PK Keski Uusimaa Women have a 33% chance. Home advantage supports the hosts, but PK Keski Uusimaa Women’s attacking form and superior H2H win count make this a close contest.

The probability conclusion is clear: TPS Turun Palloseura Women has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and PK Keski Uusimaa Women has a 33% chance. Who will win? TPS Turun Palloseura Women are the narrow pick, but the draw is a strong secondary outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds in the 1X2 market are:

• Tps win: 2.30–2.70
• Draw: 2.50–4.00
• PK Keski Uusimaa win: 2.30–2.87

One bookmaker lists both home and away wins at 2.30, with the draw at 4.00, which underlines how tight this match outcome is.

For betting tips, the draw at odds up to 4.00 may offer value because two of the last five head-to-head fixtures ended level. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a home win, but PK Keski Uusimaa Women have enough quality to take points.