TPV 2 - LeKi prediction 16 September 2026

TPV 2 vs LeKi prediction for their Kolmonen match on Sep 16, 2026, kick-off at 16:45. Our analysis, based on odds, form and head-to-head data, gives TPV 2 a 50% probability of winning, a draw 23%, and LeKi a 27% chance. The home side enters as the favorite, with bookmakers also backing TPV 2 to claim all three points.

Team Form

TPV 2 are in strong shape with four wins and one loss in their last five matches (W-W-W-W-L). Their most recent outing was a solid 2-0 home victory against Fish United FC on Sep 2. Earlier, they beat Ylojarvi United 5-3, won 2-1 at ACE, and 2-1 at Saaksjarven Loiske. The only setback came away to FC Lasten (3-1). Overall, TPV 2 have scored 12 goals in those five games, showing consistent attacking output.

LeKi’s recent form reads W-L-L-L-L: just one win in five. That solitary success came at home against Tampere United II (3-1) on Sep 11. Before that, they suffered a heavy 9-2 defeat at Cracovia II (IV Liga) and lost 4-1 at home to Bochenski KS in the same competition. In Kolmonen action, they fell 3-2 at NoPS and 2-0 at TP-T. Away from home, LeKi have lost their last four matches across all competitions, conceding 18 goals in that run.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides took place on Jun 12, 2026, when LeKi hosted TPV 2. LeKi won that clash 4-2. This head-to-head advantage is notable, but it occurred on LeKi’s turf; the dynamics could shift with TPV 2 now playing at home.

League Table Positions

Exact league table data is not available in the provided statistics, so we rely on form and match history to assess team strength. TPV 2’s superior recent results and LeKi’s poor defensive record away from home give the hosts a clear edge in this contest.

Win Probability: TPV 2 or LeKi?

Our probability calculation uses odds from the bookmakers as the base, then adjusts for recent form, head-to-head, and home advantage. The sharpest odds (home 1.95, draw 4.75, away 2.63) imply probabilities of 46.5% (home), 19.1% (draw), and 34.4% (away) after removing the margin. We then weight TPV 2’s four wins in five, LeKi’s four away losses in five, and the one-sided H2H to reach a final estimation:

• TPV 2 win: 50%
• Draw: 23%
• LeKi win: 27%

Thus, the answer to “who will win” points to TPV 2. Their home form and LeKi’s travel woes tilt the match in their favour, despite the earlier H2H defeat.

Odds & Match Prediction

A range of bookmaker odds is available. One bookmaker prices a home win at 2.10, draw at 3.10, and away at 3.10; another has 2.00 / 3.25 / 3.25; a third offers 1.95 / 4.75 / 2.63. The consensus makes TPV 2 the favourite. Our final TPV 2 vs LeKi prediction: based on the stats, TPV 2 to win is the most likely outcome. Backing the home side at odds around 1.95–2.10 represents a reasonable betting tip. LeKi’s only hope rests on repeating their H2H performance, but their current away from suggests that will be difficult.