TPV 2 - Ylojarvi United prediction 19 August 2026

TPV 2 vs Ylojarvi United prediction for the Kolmonen clash on Aug 19, 2026. The home side TPV 2 enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw stands at 30% and Ylojarvi United at 25%, according to our analysis of form, head-to-head stats and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

TPV 2 have won four of their last five matches (W4, L1). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away victory over Saaksjarven Loiske on Aug 14. The only blip was a 3-1 loss at FC Lasten on Jul 30. At home, they crushed NoPS 5-1 on Jun 24 and also beat TP-T 3-0 on Jul 22. This strong run suggests they are in excellent shape.

Ylojarvi United come into this game with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five (W3, D1, L1). They suffered a 0-3 home loss to Tampere United II on Aug 15, which ended a four-match unbeaten streak. Prior to that, they drew 1-1 with LeKi and recorded big away wins at TP 49 (5-0) on Jul 25 and Fish United FC (4-0) on Jul 2. Their attack has been prolific on the road, but the recent home defeat raises questions.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met four times previously. The overall record shows one home win, two draws and one away win. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on May 14, 2026, with Ylojarvi United as the home side. Two of the four meetings have finished level, and both sides have recorded a victory. The balance suggests a closely matched rivalry.

Win Probability: TPV 2 or Ylojarvi United?

Based on the odds, recent form and head-to-head data, the win probabilities for this match are: TPV 2 – 45%, draw – 30%, Ylojarvi United – 25%. The bookmaker implied odds gave TPV 2 around 40%, but their superior recent results (four wins in five) and home advantage push that estimate up. Ylojarvi United's away form is decent but their heavy loss last time out and the historical frequency of draws in this fixture lower their chances. The balanced H2H record (two draws in four games) supports a relatively high 30% draw probability. TPV 2 is the most likely winner, but the match could be tight.

TPV 2 vs Ylojarvi United Prediction

Odds from the market show TPV 2 as the favourite. The best available home win odds are 2.20, with a draw at 2.70 and an away win at 3.30–3.40. These numbers reflect the expectation that the home side should create more chances. Our prediction based on the stats is a TPV 2 win, but a draw is a very plausible outcome given the head-to-head history. For betting tips, the value may lie in the ‘draw’ option at 2.70–2.75 if you anticipate another stalemate.