Inter Turku II - TPV prediction 20 September 2026

This Inter Turku II vs TPV prediction covers the Ykkonen match on Sep 20, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. The bookmakers make Inter Turku II the slight favorite with odds of 1.98, and our win probability calculation gives Inter Turku II a 40% chance, TPV 35%, and the draw 25%.

Team Form

Inter Turku II head into this match on a poor run, losing their last five Ykkonen games. Those results were 1-2 vs VJS Vantaa, 0-2 vs Jazz, 0-1 vs TPV, 2-3 vs KPV Kokkola, and 0-1 vs PK Keski-Uusimaa. They have conceded at least one goal in each of those defeats and look vulnerable at the back.

TPV show more mixed form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They beat KuPS Akatemia 4-2, lost 0-2 to PK Keski-Uusimaa, won 1-0 at Inter Turku II, and drew 1-1 with Tampere United and 1-1 with SalPa. TPV have been more consistent going forward, scoring in four of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent H2H record favours TPV. In two Ykkonen meetings this season, TPV won once and the other ended level.

• Aug 22, 2026: Inter Turku II 0-1 TPV
• Jun 06, 2026: TPV 1-1 Inter Turku II

Inter Turku II have 0 wins, TPV have 1 win, with 1 draw between them. TPV have also kept a clean sheet in the most recent meeting.

League Table Positions

In the overall Ykkonen standings, TPV sit 9th with 27 points, while Inter Turku II are 10th with 20 points. TPV have scored 34 goals and conceded 42; Inter Turku II have scored 33 and conceded 53. TPV's goal difference is -8, while Inter Turku II's is -20. In home matches, TPV rank 6th with 19 points from 12 games; Inter Turku II are not among the top eight home teams.

Win Probability: Inter Turku II or TPV?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Inter Turku II has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and TPV has a 35% chance. The total equals 100%.

The odds implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin were 44.8% for an Inter Turku II win, 23.0% for a draw, and 32.2% for a TPV win. We adjusted the home chance downward because Inter Turku II have lost five in a row and TPV are unbeaten in the last two H2H meetings, while still respecting the bookmakers' home preference.

Conclusion: Inter Turku II is slightly more likely to win than TPV, but this is a close contest with no strong favourite. Both teams have realistic chances of taking something from the match.

Odds & Inter Turku II vs TPV Prediction

The 1X2 odds from the JSON data are: home win 1.98, draw 3.85, away win 2.75. These odds show bookmakers favour Inter Turku II but also give TPV a reasonable chance.

Our match prediction based on the stats: Inter Turku II or draw is the safer betting tip, but a TPV upset is plausible. The most likely single outcome according to our adjusted probability is an Inter Turku II win at 40%, but the draw (25%) and TPV win (35%) are not far behind. Given TPV's better recent form and head-to-head edge, the away double chance could offer value.