Caykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor prediction 26 October 2026

The Caykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor prediction for the Super League match on Oct 26 at 16:00 is shaped by clear historical and form-based trends. Played at Yeni Rize Şehir Stadı in Rize, Trabzonspor enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability based on odds, head-to-head record, and current form. Caykur Rizespor has a 20% chance of victory, while the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Caykur Rizespor's recent results have been inconsistent, recording two losses, one draw, and one win in their last five league matches. They lost 2-1 away to Corum Belediyespor on Oct 16 and suffered a heavy 3-0 home defeat to Fenerbahce on Oct 10. A 2-2 draw at Goztepe on Sep 20 and a 2-0 win at Eyupspor on Sep 12 showed some resilience, but a 1-0 home loss to Alanyaspor on Sep 7 highlights their struggles. Trabzonspor, in contrast, is in excellent form with four wins in their last five overall matches. They secured a 2-0 home win over Besiktas on Oct 19 and a 4-2 away victory at KuPS in the UEFA Conference League on Oct 15. A 3-0 away win at Samsunspor on Oct 10 further demonstrates their momentum, though a 1-0 friendly loss to Drogheda United on Oct 1 is a minor blemish.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Trabzonspor, with 14 wins compared to Caykur Rizespor's 5, and just 1 draw in their last 20 meetings. The most recent encounter on Mar 14, 2026, saw Trabzonspor win 1-0 at home. Earlier in the 2025/26 season, on Oct 18, 2025, Trabzonspor won 2-1 away at Caykur Rizespor. In the 2025 Cup match on Feb 26, Trabzonspor dominated 5-2. Caykur Rizespor's last win was a 3-1 home victory on Nov 9, 2024, but Trabzonspor has won four of the last five encounters.

League Table Positions

In the Super League table, Trabzonspor sits 4th with 16 points from 8 matches, boasting 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 18 goals scored and only 5 conceded. Caykur Rizespor is not in the top 12 of the overall standings, but in the away standings they rank 2nd with 10 points from 5 away games, including 3 wins. Trabzonspor's home form is perfect—4 wins from 4 at home—but this match is away, where they are not ranked in the top 8. The gap in overall points and Trabzonspor's defensive record gives them a clear advantage.

Win Probability: Caykur Rizespor or Trabzonspor?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head data, Caykur Rizespor has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Trabzonspor has a 55% chance. The initial calculation used the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.30, draw 2.40, away 1.77), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Adjustments were made for Trabzonspor's dominant 14-5 head-to-head record and their strong recent form of four wins in five, while Caykur Rizespor's home advantage is offset by just one win in their last five home games. Trabzonspor is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Trabzonspor as the clear favorite, with the best away win odds as low as 1.77. The draw is priced around 2.40–2.43, and a Caykur Rizespor home win ranges from 3.30 to 3.94. Based on the stats, Trabzonspor's superior form and overwhelming head-to-head edge make them the predicted winner. The match is likely to be competitive, but Trabzonspor's quality should secure a victory.